Phillies vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2024

Phillies at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN

Philadelphia Phillies

12-8

3 - 6

Washington Nationals

7-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gore			3.90	10-12
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 12-8	-1.5	-1.5-120	o8-112	-207
Nationals 7-12	u7.5	+1.5+100	u8-108	+172

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

September 28, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

PHI -1.5-117

PHI -1.5-115

1.15u

M.Gore u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

They’re not going to push Gore (Davey Martinez has traditionally pulled his pitchers earlier during their last start), and Gore has struggled historically vs the Phillies. Phils still trying to grab the #1 seed. Overall, Gore is under in 18/31 this season, and the Phillies have been solid vs lefties lately (.749 OPS and a 108 wRC+ over the L30 days). Good hitting weather today too.

WSH +186

0.47u

Small to +175

Featured Insight
Phillies hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last two weeks -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Nationals RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 69-89 (.437) this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

40% of James Wood strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for 11th highest among hitters with at least 237 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 32% of Zack Wheeler strikeouts are looking this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Alec Bohm is batting .304 on non-fastballs this season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .254 (75-for-295) against MacKenzie Gore non-fastballs this season -- tied for seventh worst among qualified SPs-- 19th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .355 (49-for-138) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (138/462) against MacKenzie Gore this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 4-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Nationals' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	10-10	6-3	4-7	1-2	9-8
Phillies	12-9	8-4	4-5	9-7	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	12-8	7-2	5-6	3-0	9-8
Phillies	10-11	7-5	3-6	8-8	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	8-12	5-4	3-8	2-1	6-11
Phillies	13-8	9-3	4-5	10-6	3-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	PHI	W 9-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH +154
Sep 26th	KC	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +145
Sep 25th	KC	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	KC +114
Sep 24th	KC	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7	KC +165
Sep 22nd	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CHC +170

Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	97	6.1	11	2
RO.Kerkering, P	18	0.2	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	26	1	2	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	1	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
6J.Realmuto, C	1-3	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, PH	0-0	1	0	0
9K.Clemens, LF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	91	6	9	0
RD.Law, P	19	0.2	1	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	27	1.1	1	2
RK.Finnegan, P	13	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	2-4	2	1	2
3K.Ruiz, C	2-4	1	0	1
4J.Tena, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Yepez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Crews, RF	2-3	1	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
8J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Nunez, SS	1-3	0	0	0