Phillies vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Phillies at Padres

8:10 pm • SDPA

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

8 - 6

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.King			2.95	13-9
T.Walker			7.10	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-166	o8-110	+122
Padres 4-3	-1.5+140	u8-110	-144

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

April 28, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

PHI +124

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-122

0.61u

M.King u17.5 Outs-125

Phillies bats are hot: 123 wRC+ and .811 OPS vs righties the L2 weeks (both top 3). King under in 3/5, and he’s allowing a .854 OPS with runners on base, and should see 5 lefties today (.382 OBP). Padres pen in decent enough shape.

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8 (-103)

M.King u6.5 Ks-130

0.38u

Ballpark pal projects 5.30 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -172 giving us value at this number

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 3.7 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (13 games). The Padres have allowed 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 28, 2024 UTC

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .712 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .536 (586 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Michael King has walked 13 of 68 left-handed batters (19%) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -117
Apr 27th	PHI	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -108
Apr 25th	@COL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 11	COL -148
Apr 25th	@COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 10.5	SD -149
Apr 24th	@COL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	COL -148

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	90	6.1	4	6
RJ.Hoffman, P	8	0.2	0	0
RY.Marte, P	12	1	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	2-5	1	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	3-5	1	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	2-5	1	1	3
6B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	0-1	2	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	2-3	3	2	4
9J.Rojas, CF	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	95	5.1	6	6
LT.Cosgrove, P	15	0.2	0	1
RE.De Los Santos, P	18	1	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	18	1	1	1
RS.Kolek, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	2-4	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7H.Kim, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8G.Pauley, DH	1-3	1	0	0
8E.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, PH	1-2	1	1	3
9L.Campusano, C	1-2	1	1	3