Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2024

Pirates at Braves

11:20 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

1 - 6

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
M.Perez			5.21	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-112	o9-110	+180
Braves 0-2	-1.5-108	u9-110	-218

Friday 11:20 p.m.

June 28, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

C.Morton o5.5 Ks-105

0.95u

C.Morton o5.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Over 8.5-115

1.15u

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

0.25u

Small to -133

ATL -165 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -175

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Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Pirates left-handed hitters have struck out 25% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Connor Joe is batting just .186 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 13th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 48% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Michael A. Taylor has an OPS of just .489 this season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 117 total PA's-- second Percentile. Joe Jimenez has allowed an OPS of just .471 (124 PAs) this season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (337/762) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (696/1,424) since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 98th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 69 of 671 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285
Jun 26th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -120
Jun 26th	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -125
Jun 24th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -130
Jun 23rd	@NYY	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL +100

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	92	4	4	6
RD.Jefferies, P	51	3	3	0
RC.Holderman, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	0-3	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	1-1	1	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-3	0	0
6E.Olivares, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	1
8J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0
8J.Triolo, PH	0-1	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	104	6.1	7	0
RJ.Chavez, P	23	1.1	2	0
LD.Lee, P	4	0.1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	22	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-2	1	0	3
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5A.Riley, 3B	1-4	2	1	1
6S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Williams, LF	1-3	1	0	0