Braves vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - June 23, 2024

Braves at Yankees

5:35 pm • YES

Atlanta Braves

0-2

3 - 1

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			3.77	9-10
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+154	o8.5-115	+100
Yankees 8-6	+1.5-184	u8.5-105	-120

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

June 23, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

ATL +100

ATL +104

$52.00

Under 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -110

NYY -105

1.05u

N.Cortes o5.5 Ks-125

He’s 6/8 at home this season, and dating back to 2022, he’s been a far better K pitcher in day games (19% 23% 20% in night games ‘22-‘24, compared to 35%, 29%, 27% in the day). Obviously pitching much better at home too (1.57 ERA). Braves running slightly above avg all season with a 22%-23% K% pretty consistently. 7 plus targets in the lineup today (everyone else except Albies and Duvall).

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.1u

NYY -105 (F5)

0.26u

Small to -110

NYY +102

0.5u

Bet to -113

Featured Insight
Braves RPs have allowed an OPS of just .470 (82 PAs) over the last week -- second best in MLB. Yankees hitters have an OPS of just .614 over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Yankees have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB. Braves have won just 38% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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PRO's Over/Under Edge for Braves-Yankees
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Jun 23, 2024 UTC
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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Ozzie Albies has a swing rate of 45% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .452 (19-for-42) against Nestor Cortes on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second worst among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (138/229) against Max Fried this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .452 (19-for-42) against Nestor Cortes on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 -- third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .297 (19-for-64) against Nestor Cortes' elevated fastball this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 -- seventh Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (57 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 22nd	ATL	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9	NYY -134
Jun 21st	ATL	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL -109
Jun 20th	BAL	L 5-17	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -170
Jun 19th	BAL	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BAL -145
Jun 18th	BAL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -142

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	87	6	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	11	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	16	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	1-3	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Laureano, RF	1-3	1	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	102	7	7	3
RT.Kahnle, P	17	1	3	0
RC.Holmes, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	0	1
2J.Soto, RF	1-4	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	1-4	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0
6D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-3	0	0
7B.Rice, 1B	2-3	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	0-3	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	2-3	1	0