Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Pirates at Braves

8:10 pm • BSSE

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

1 - 2

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-185	o7.5+100	+120
Braves 0-2	-1.5+154	u7.5-120	-142

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 29, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 7.5-114

ATL -1.5+154

PIT +130

Under 7.5-114

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

Over 7.5-110

Under 4.5 (F5)-148

0.25u

Small to -160 or 4 (-118)

Under 8-115

0.25u

Small to 7.5 (-105)

PIT +130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +115

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 58% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB. Pirates have won just 42% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- fifth worst.

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Pirates vs. Braves: Over/Under Bet Skenes-Fried Duel
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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .915 since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .798 (333 PAs) since last season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .849 since the 2022 season -- 15th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .846 (502 PAs) since the 2022 season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .440 (273 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .661 -- 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 34% (61 SO in 181 PAs) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 98th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has struck out 40% (20/50) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	PIT	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -218
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285
Jun 26th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -120
Jun 26th	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -125
Jun 24th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -130

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	102	6	9	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	24	1	2	0
RK.Nicolas, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	1-2	0	0
3O.Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-1	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	1-3	0	1
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0
7R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0
9J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	103	6	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	9	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	30	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	19	1	2	0
RD.Hernandez, P	6	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	2-3	1	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Wall, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Williams, LF	0-0	1	0	0
8A.Duvall, RF	1-4	0	0	1
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0