Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

6:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-19

1 - 0

Milwaukee Brewers

15-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 11-19	-1.5+140	o7.5+100	-121
Brewers 15-15	+1.5-165	u7.5-120	+102

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

July 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

B.Reynolds o0.5 HR+460

0.25u

Over 3.5 (Live)-110

PIT -120

0.83u

Under 7.5+100

PIT -120

0.83u

Over 7.5-115

Under 7.5-105

MIL +100

PIT -134 (F5)

Paul Skenes is going for the Pirates. Enough said. He has a 1.11 road ERA.

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

MIL +106

$50.00

MIL +105

Under 8-112

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-103)

MIL +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .828 this month -- fifth best in MLB. Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of .965 (150 PAs) this month -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since last season -- second lowest in MLB (254 games). The Pirates have scored just 4.3 runs per game since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (253 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 11, 2024 UTC
Our MLB Best Bets for Thursday Night
Action Network•
Jul 11, 2024 UTC
Pirates vs Brewers: Bet Skenes, Pirates on the Run Line
Tony Sartori•
Jul 11, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Brewers are 27-13 (.675) at home this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Willy Adames is slugging .543 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Paul Skenes has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time this season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total NonFB-- 96th Percentile.

34% of Brice Turang strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 69% of Paul Skenes's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .886 (162 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 -- third Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (81 Total Bases / 150 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 10-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Brewers' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	18-12	8-5	10-7	10-5	7-7
Pirates	12-18	6-8	6-10	4-7	8-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	12-15-3	5-7-1	7-8-2	6-8-1	6-6-2
Pirates	13-15-2	8-5-1	5-10-1	5-6	8-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	15-15	9-4	6-11	11-4	3-11
Pirates	11-19	6-8	5-11	5-6	6-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 11th	PIT	W 9-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -162
Jul 10th	PIT	L 2-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -162
Jul 7th	@LAD	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +150
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAD -108
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +180

Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Brice Turang
2B
Brice Turang scratched Wednesday.
Out
Aaron Ashby
SP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	99	7	11
RC.Holderman, P	26	1	3
LA.Chapman, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	0-0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	1	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	100	6.1	6	1
LB.Hudson, P	22	1.2	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7G.Mitchell, RF	1-2	0	0	0
8A.Monasterio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0