Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

1-0

5 - 0

Chicago Cubs

3-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			5.92	4-12
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 1-0	-1.5+140	o7.5-115	-122
Cubs 3-0	+1.5-166	u7.5-105	+102

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 03, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 7.5-115

Under 7.5-105

0.25u

Updated projection 7.1 Small to -105 an edge whether you have Over 6.5. Shoot a half middle and try to roll the 7 (4-3 Cubs)

Over 7.5-107

Signal of the Day

A.McCutchen o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-112

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

Over 6.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -120 or 7 (-101)

CHC -126

0.63u

Update: Bet to -103; Steele scratched for Hendricks

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .213 (109-for-512) against Cubs RPs with RISP this season -- second best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .229 with RISP this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Michael Busch has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH since last season (796 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 47% (29 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 2nd	PIT	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -155
Sep 1st	@WSH	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 9	CHC -130
Aug 31st	@WSH	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	CHC -112
Aug 30th	@WSH	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -161
Aug 28th	@PIT	W 14-10	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +142

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	100	5	6
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	26	2	2
RD.Bednar, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, CF	0-4	1	0	0
4A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	1
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
6N.Gonzales, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7C.Joe, RF	1-3	1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	1	1	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	89	5	5	2
LD.Smyly, P	6	1	1	0
RT.Miller, P	19	1	0	3
RE.Roberts, P	27	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Busch, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Tauchman, PH	0-1	0	0	0