Pirates vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2023

Pirates at Padres

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

7-5

3 - 2

San Diego Padres

3-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7
J.Oviedo			4.31	9-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 7-5	+1.5-126	o8.5-105	+159
Padres 3-9	-1.5+105	u8.5-115	-190

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

July 26, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

J.Oviedo u17.5 Outs-121

PIT +170

1.7u

J.Oviedo u17.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguys-mlb-player-prop-picks-fade-johan-oviedo-in-san-diego-wednesday-july-26

PIT +185

0.93u

Bet to +171

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Jul 26, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 26, 2023 UTC
PropBetGuy's MLB Player Prop: Fade Johan Oviedo In San Diego
PropBetGuy•
Jul 26, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Padres are just 10-92 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Austin Hedges has an OPS of just .466 this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 148 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Steven Wilson has allowed an OPS of just .550 (167 PAs) this season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .298 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Johan Oviedo has thrown a breaking pitch 54% of the time since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has a strikeout rate of 45% (9 SO in 20 PAs) in late innings this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3232.6 RPM on curveballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 2524.2 -- 100th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (495/1,092) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total CB; League Avg: 19% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	PIT	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -290
Jul 25th	PIT	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -275
Jul 23rd	@DET	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -215
Jul 22nd	@DET	W 14-3	-1.5 W	O 10	SD -140
Jul 21st	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	SD -162

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	90	6	5	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	11	1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	37	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	1	1
3C.Santana, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4J. Choi, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5H.Davis, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	84	7	8	2
RN.Martinez, P	18	1	2	0
RR.Suarez, P	18	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1H.Kim, 2B	1-3	1	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-3	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-2	1	0
5L.Campusano, C	1-4	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	0	0
7G.Sanchez, DH	0-2	0	0
7J.Soto, PH	0-0	0	1
8T. Kohlwey, LF	0-4	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0