Pirates vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2023

Pirates at Padres

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-18

3 - 2

San Diego Padres

17-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7
J.Oviedo			4.31	9-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 11-18	+1.5-126	o8.5-105	+159
Padres 17-11	-1.5+105	u8.5-115	-190

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

July 26, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

J.Oviedo u17.5 Outs-121

J.Oviedo u17.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguys-mlb-player-prop-picks-fade-johan-oviedo-in-san-diego-wednesday-july-26

PIT +185

0.93u

Bet to +171

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The Padres are just 10-92 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Austin Hedges has an OPS of just .466 this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 148 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Steven Wilson has allowed an OPS of just .550 (167 PAs) this season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .298 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Johan Oviedo has thrown a breaking pitch 54% of the time since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has a strikeout rate of 45% (9 SO in 20 PAs) in late innings this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3232.6 RPM on curveballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 2524.2 -- 100th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (495/1,092) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total CB; League Avg: 19% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 3-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Padres' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	15-13	12-4	3-9	9-6	6-7
Pirates	12-17	6-7	6-10	4-7	8-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	10-17-1	4-11-1	6-6	5-9-1	5-8
Pirates	13-15-1	8-5	5-10-1	5-6	8-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	17-11	12-4	5-7	11-4	6-7
Pirates	11-18	6-7	5-11	5-6	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	PIT	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -290
Jul 25th	PIT	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -275
Jul 23rd	@DET	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -215
Jul 22nd	@DET	W 14-3	-1.5 W	O 10	SD -140
Jul 21st	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	SD -162

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
CF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	90	6	5	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	11	1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	37	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	1	1
3C.Santana, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4J. Choi, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5H.Davis, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	84	7	8	2
RN.Martinez, P	18	1	2	0
RR.Suarez, P	18	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1H.Kim, 2B	1-3	1	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-3	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-2	1	0
5L.Campusano, C	1-4	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	0	0
7G.Sanchez, DH	0-2	0	0
7J.Soto, PH	0-0	0	1
8T. Kohlwey, LF	0-4	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0