Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Pirates at Reds

5:10 pm • BSOH

Pittsburgh Pirates

1-0

6 - 1

Cincinnati Reds

1-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5
L.Ortiz			3.32	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 1-0	-1.5	+1.5-166	o9.5-108	+114
Reds 1-1	u9.5	-1.5+140	u9.5-112	-135

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

June 26, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

PIT +126

0.63u

Superbook. Bet to +115

G.Ashcraft u5.5 Ks-146

Ashcraft under in 10/12 MLB starts, and 1/2 MILB starts. Apparently worked on a changeup in the minors, but not too worried about that coming into play in his first start back in the majors. Gets a pirates lineup that is somewhat K prone, but even at 24-25%, this line is a bit too high for a well below avg K pitcher.

PIT +122

$61.00

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.2 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Pirates have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 41% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (11/65) against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 7th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% -- eighth Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (110/200) this season -- 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% -- ninth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	PIT	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -130
Jun 24th	PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 10	CIN -135
Jun 23rd	BOS	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -162
Jun 22nd	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS -101
Jun 21st	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -105

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	85	6	7	1
RK.Nicolas, P	28	2	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-5	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
7C.Joe, RF	2-3	1	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Delay, C	2-3	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	89	5.1	3	6
LJ.Wilson, P	18	1.2	2	0
RL.Sims, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-4	0	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	0-4	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
7S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	1	0
8L.Soto, DH	0-3	0	0
9L.Jordan, LF	0-3	0	0