Rangers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2023

Rangers at Astros

12:10 am • SportsNet SW
13 - 5

Rangers at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers
0-0
+1.5-130
o8.5-125
+150
Astros
0-2
-1.5+110
u8.5+105
-184
location pinThursday 12:10 a.m.
July 27, 2023
Minute Maid ParkHouston
Rangers vs. Astros Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
476d ago
Last 30d: 59-64-1 (-10.8u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
476d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Over 8.5-105
1u
TEX +155
1.55u
TEX +155 (F5)
1.55u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
476d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
TEX +150 (F5)
1.5u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
476d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
TEX +158
1.26u
Available at FanDuel. My model doesn't have a high opinion of Andrew Heaney and is still showing value here, pushing me to buy into it. Heaney has had big issues with hard contact, and that's why the model is low on him. But the Rangers' offense could potentially match some of that output. Framber Valdez is a great pitcher, but he's facing an offense -- even without Corey Seager -- with a 130 wRC+ against lefties on the current active roster. It's a tough spot for Valdez, who has had some rougher outings of late. My model puts the Rangers' win odds at 44.3%, up from 38.8% implied.
A.Heaney u4.5 Ks+126
1.13u
Available at FanDuel. Similar to the Lorenzen prop, I have Heaney projected right at this number (4.5). That implies pretty much anything plus money on the under is a good bet, and this one's at +126. Heaney has made nine starts since he started to re-increase his slider usage, and even in that time, his strikeout rate is just 23.7%. He's facing a team with a 17.0% strikeout rate on its active roster against lefties. Although I have faith that the Rangers can win this game, I still think this number is too high, and we should be pushed to take the under.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
477d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
TEX +155
0.78u
Bet to +137
TEX +158 (F5)
0.79u
Bet to +150
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
477d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
TEX +155
1.55u

Rangers vs. Astros Previews & Analysis

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    Cunningham: How I'm Betting Wednesday's MLB Slate

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    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card

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Rangers vs. Astros Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Rangers vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19
Rangers
70-9137-4433-4735-5634-34

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24
Rangers
74-79-832-47-242-32-640-47-434-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22
Rangers
78-8444-3733-4752-3924-44

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 26thTEXW 4-3-1.5 LU 9HOU -140
Jul 25thTEXW 10-9+1.5 WO 8.5HOU -105
Jul 23rd@ATHW 3-2-1.5 LU 8HOU -240
Jul 23rd@ATHL 1-4-1.5 LU 8ATH -200
Jul 22nd@ATHW 6-4-1.5 WO 7.5HOU -245

Astros vs. Rangers Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Rangers Injuries

  • Corey Seager
    IF

    Seager is out with hip

    Out

  • Tyler Mahle
    P

    Mahle is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Evan Carter
    OF

    Carter is out with back

    Out

Rangers vs. Astros Box Score
Rangers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Andrew Heaney logoLA.Heaney, P90533
Jose Leclerc logoRJ.Leclerc, P24220
Owen White logoRO.White, P32222
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Marcus Semien logo1M.Semien, 2B3-3312
Josh Smith logo1J.Smith, 2B1-2000
Ezequiel Duran logo2E.Duran, SS1-5100
Nathaniel Lowe logo3N.Lowe, 1B2-4213
Adolis Garcia logo4A.Garcia, RF1-5114
Josh Jung logo5J.Jung, 3B2-5000
Jonah Heim logo6J.Heim, C0-2000
Sam Huff logo6S.Huff, PH1-3111
Sam Huff logo6S.Huff, C1-3111
Mitch Garver logo7M.Garver, DH2-4100
Robbie Grossman logo8R.Grossman, LF2-5200
Leody Taveras logo9L.Taveras, CF2-5203
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Framber Valdez logoLF.Valdez, P803.216
Seth Martinez logoRS.Martinez, P30117
Rafael Montero logoRR.Montero, P141.110
Parker Mushinski logoLP.Mushinski, P29220
Ryne Stanek logoRR.Stanek, P14110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B0-3000
Grae Kessinger logo1G.Kessinger, 2B0-2000
Grae Kessinger logo1G.Kessinger, 3B0-2000
Jeremy Pena logo2J.Pena, SS2-4100
Kyle Tucker logo3K.Tucker, RF0-1100
Jake Meyers logo3J.Meyers, CF0-1000
Alex Bregman logo4A.Bregman, 3B2-3113
Mauricio Dubon logo4M.Dubon, 2B0-1000
Yordan Alvarez logo5Y.Alvarez, DH1-2000
Jose Abreu logo6J.Abreu, 1B0-4000
Chas McCormick logo7C.McCormick, CF0-3100
Chas McCormick logo7C.McCormick, RF0-3100
Corey Julks logo8C.Julks, LF0-4000
Martin Maldonado logo9M.Maldonado, C0-1000
Yainer Diaz logo9Y.Diaz, C1-3112

Rangers vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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Rangers at Astros Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Rangers
0-0
N/A
N/A
Astros
0-2
N/A
N/A