Rangers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2023
Rangers at Astros
12:10 am • SportsNet SWRangers at Astros Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Rangers 0-0 | +1.5-130 | o8.5-125 | +150 | |
Astros 0-2 | -1.5+110 | u8.5+105 | -184 |
Thursday 12:10 a.m.
July 27, 2023Minute Maid ParkHouston
Rangers vs. Astros Expert Picks
The Degenerates
476d ago
Last 30d: 59-64-1 (-10.8u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Tanner McGrath
476d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Over 8.5-105
1u
TEX +155
1.55u
TEX +155 (F5)
1.55u
BJ Cunningham
476d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
TEX +150 (F5)
1.5u
Jim Sannes
476d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
TEX +158
1.26u
Available at FanDuel. My model doesn't have a high opinion of Andrew Heaney and is still showing value here, pushing me to buy into it. Heaney has had big issues with hard contact, and that's why the model is low on him. But the Rangers' offense could potentially match some of that output. Framber Valdez is a great pitcher, but he's facing an offense -- even without Corey Seager -- with a 130 wRC+ against lefties on the current active roster. It's a tough spot for Valdez, who has had some rougher outings of late. My model puts the Rangers' win odds at 44.3%, up from 38.8% implied.
A.Heaney u4.5 Ks+126
1.13u
Available at FanDuel. Similar to the Lorenzen prop, I have Heaney projected right at this number (4.5). That implies pretty much anything plus money on the under is a good bet, and this one's at +126. Heaney has made nine starts since he started to re-increase his slider usage, and even in that time, his strikeout rate is just 23.7%. He's facing a team with a 17.0% strikeout rate on its active roster against lefties. Although I have faith that the Rangers can win this game, I still think this number is too high, and we should be pushed to take the under.
Sean Zerillo
477d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
TEX +155
0.78u
Bet to +137
TEX +158 (F5)
0.79u
Bet to +150
BJ Cunningham
477d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
TEX +155
1.55u
Rangers vs. Astros Previews & Analysis
Rangers vs. Astros Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Rangers vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Rangers Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Rangers Injuries
- Corey SeagerIF
Seager is out with hip
Out
- Tyler MahleP
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
- Evan CarterOF
Carter is out with back
Out
Rangers vs. Astros Box Score
Rangers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LA.Heaney, P | 90 | 5 | 3 | 3 | |
RJ.Leclerc, P | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
RO.White, P | 32 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Semien, 2B | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
1J.Smith, 2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2E.Duran, SS | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3N.Lowe, 1B | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
4A.Garcia, RF | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
5J.Jung, 3B | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Heim, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6S.Huff, PH | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6S.Huff, C | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
7M.Garver, DH | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8R.Grossman, LF | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
9L.Taveras, CF | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Astros Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LF.Valdez, P | 80 | 3.2 | 1 | 6 | |
RS.Martinez, P | 30 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
RR.Montero, P | 14 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
LP.Mushinski, P | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
RR.Stanek, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Altuve, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1G.Kessinger, 2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1G.Kessinger, 3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Pena, SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3K.Tucker, RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Meyers, CF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Bregman, 3B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
4M.Dubon, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5Y.Alvarez, DH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Abreu, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7C.McCormick, CF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7C.McCormick, RF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8C.Julks, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9M.Maldonado, C | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9Y.Diaz, C | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Rangers vs. Astros Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Rangers at Astros Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Rangers 0-0 | N/A | N/A |
Astros 0-2 | N/A | N/A |