Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Rays at Blue Jays

7:07 pm • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

8-8

13 - 0

Toronto Blue Jays

12-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Bassitt			4.16	10-14
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 8-8	-1.5+160	o8-106	-105
Blue Jays 12-6	+1.5-192	u8-112	-115

Thursday 7:07 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases-115

1.15u

Over 11.5 (Live)-105

0.95u

TB -109

0.92u

C.Bassitt o1.5 BB-140

TB -105

0.95u

Taj Bradley has given up only four earned runs during his last eight starts. Stud.

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

TOR -108

0.75u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

1.4u

C.Bassitt o5.5 Ks-120

0.63u

Projection lands at 6.27 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

Under 7.5-114

$57.00

C.Bassitt u5.5 Hits Allowed-150

Projection lands at 4.73 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

TOR +100

Under 8-125

TB -107

0.93u

Featured Insight
Rays have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB. Blue Jays left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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The Rays are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rays are 20-19 (.513) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

George Springer is slugging .571 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 95% of Taj Bradley fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Taylor Walls has an OPS of just .576 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 636 total PA's-- first Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .573 (703 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (26/207) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Taj Bradley in his last start -- highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (155 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 80.8

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	TB	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +102
Jul 23rd	TB	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -130
Jul 21st	DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	TOR -170
Jul 20th	DET	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 8	DET -122
Jul 19th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -135

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RT.Bradley, P	83	6	7
RE.Uceta, P	36	2	2
LC.Poche, P	17	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Palacios, 2B	1-5	2	0	0
1R.Palacios, LF	1-5	2	0	0
2I.Paredes, 1B	2-5	2	0	4
3B.Lowe, DH	4-4	2	1	3
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	0	0	1
4C.Mead, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Lowe, RF	1-6	0	0	2
6A.Rosario, 3B	3-6	2	0	0
7T.Walls, SS	1-3	2	0	0
8J.DeLuca, CF	1-5	1	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	2-4	2	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	97	5	6	3
RT.Richards, P	32	0.1	0	4
RR.Burr, P	35	1	1	4
RN.Pearson, P	35	1.2	1	1
RE.Clement, P	16	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1S.Berroa, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Barger, RF	0-1	0	0	0
3A.Barger, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4K.Kiermaier, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Jimenez, SS	0-3	0	0	0