Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Rays at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSAZ

Tampa Bay Rays

8-9

3 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z. Davies			7.00	2-5
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 8-9	-1.5+105	o9-115	-155
Diamondbacks 11-10	+1.5-125	u9-110	+130

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

June 29, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

TB -1.5+105

R.Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases+112

0.71u

Tailing some dumbass from Twitter aka @Royal_Locks

Over 9.5-110

1.1u

J.Siri o1.5 Total Bases+130

TB -165 (F5)

Under 9.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -110

ARI +130

0.9u

My model is pretty down on Diamondbacks starter Zach Davies, but it's still showing value here, which gives me more confidence in betting Arizona. I'm guessing some of this has to do with Arizona's bullpen and defense, both of which grade out as being better than the Rays'. Importantly, the defense helps limit aggression on the bases, one part of what has made the Rays so tough this year. I've got the Diamondbacks' win odds at 48.3%, up from 43.5% implied at this number.

Zerillo: Back This Edge in Yankees-A's
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 28, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Rays are 15-8 (.652) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Diamondbacks are 12-7 (.632) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Diamondbacks are 13-10 (.565) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Rays are 53-26 (.671) after a home win since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.

40% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts are looking over the last 30 days -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 38% of Zach Eflin strikeouts are looking over the last 30 days -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	TB	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8	ARI -132
Jun 25th	@SF	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	ARI +120
Jun 24th	@SF	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8	SF -115
Jun 24th	@SF	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SF +145
Jun 22nd	@WSH	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	ARI -154

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	83	7	7	2
LC.Poche, P	11	1	0	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	3-4	1	0
2W. Franco, SS	1-4	1	0
3L.Raley, DH	1-4	1	1
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0
6J.Lowe, RF	1-4	0	2
7J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-2	0	0
8F. Mejia, PH	0-1	0	0
8F. Mejia, C	0-1	0	0
9V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ. Davies, P	84	7	3	0
RM.Castro, P	10	1	0	0
RS.McGough, P	31	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.McCarthy, RF	1-4	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	1
3C.Carroll, LF	1-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	1-4	0	0
6E.Rivera, 3B	0-4	0	0
7C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	1
7G.Perdomo, PH	0-0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	1-3	0	0
8P.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	0