Rays vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2024

Rays at Twins

5:10 pm • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

7 - 6

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5
Z.Littell			3.63	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	+1.5-187	o8-111	+112
Twins 0-0	-1.5+157	u8-110	-132

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

June 20, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

Z.Littell o4.5 Ks+130

1.3u

Under 8-112

$1120.00

TB +120

1.02u

MIN -130

1.3u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

MIN o3.5 Team Total-135

Despite getting held to 2 runs last night, the Twins offense is hot. 140 wRC+, .836 OPS vs righties the L2 weeks, and 113, .739 overall this season vs righties at home. Littell has been hit hard lately, and has allowed the over to hit in 8/14 starts, including 4/6 on the road. Also, the Rays high leverage bullpen guys (Adam, Poche, Kelly, Maton) likely all unavailable today.

Z.Littell o5.5 Ks+290

0.2u

Under 7.5+100

Z.Littell o4.5 Ks+140

0.56u

Under 1 (1st Inn)-105

-105 DK

Z.Littell o5.5 Hits Allowed-130

Under 8-115

0.58u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Rays have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season -- third highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 25% since last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have scored 4.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- highest in MLB (6 games). The Rays have allowed 3.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- highest in MLB (6 games).

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The Twins are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.

The Rays are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .060.

Christian Vazquez has an OPS of just .466 this season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 106 total PA's-- first Percentile. Mason Miller has allowed an OPS of just .465 (126 PAs) this season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jose Caballero has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Griffin Jax has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .440 (11 GB hits out of 25 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .256 -- first Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) -- tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% -- seventh Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .309 (50-for-162) against Zack Littell this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 -- second Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 2 of 124 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	TB	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -172
Jun 18th	TB	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -190
Jun 16th	ATH	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 9	MIN -205
Jun 16th	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -207
Jun 15th	ATH	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -177

Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Littell, P	95	5	5	2
RS.Armstrong, P	18	2	2	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	15	0.1	0	0
RK.Kelly, P	11	0.2	2	0
RC.Devenski, P	11	0	0	3
RP.Fairbanks, P	30	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	1	1	2
2B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Palacios, PR	0-1	1	0	0
3R.Palacios, RF	0-1	1	0	0
4J.Lowe, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4A.Rosario, PH	1-1	0	0	1
4T.Walls, SS	0-1	1	0	0
5R.Arozarena, DH	1-4	0	0	1
6J.DeLuca, LF	1-5	0	0	1
7J.Siri, CF	2-5	1	1	1
8J.Caballero, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	92	6	6	2
RC.Sands, P	20	1	3	0
LS.Okert, P	15	0.1	0	1
RJ.Jackson, P	21	1	2	3
LC.Thielbar, P	14	0.2	1	0
RG.Jax, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0	0
1T.Larnach, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1W.Castro, PH	1-2	0	0	0
1W.Castro, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
2J.Miranda, 3B	2-5	1	1	3
3R.Lewis, DH	1-3	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4M.Margot, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Margot, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Correa, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	1-5	0	0	0
6C.Santana, 1B	3-5	2	1	1
7B.Buxton, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8K.Farmer, SS	1-3	0	0	1
9A.Martin, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
9A.Martin, LF	0-3	1	0	0