Red Sox vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2024

Red Sox at Braves

11:20 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

0 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-119	o8.5+100	+175
Braves 0-2	u9	-1.5-101	u8.5-120	-216

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

May 08, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 8.5-115

ATL -190 (F5)

0.26u

Flat to -195

Under 9-114

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (-103)

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 3.0 runs per game over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (12 games). The Braves have scored just 3.2 runs per game over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (11 games).

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Featured Insight
Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 26% against LHP since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday Night
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May 8, 2024 UTC
MLB Strikeout Props: Fade Chris Sale vs. Red Sox?
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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Tyler O'Neill has struck out in 35% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 12th highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 37% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

9 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 26% (53/204) against Nick Pivetta on inside fastballs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 15% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -188
May 5th	@LAD	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD -155
May 5th	@LAD	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +164
May 4th	@LAD	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	LAD -106
May 1st	@SEA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -191

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	58	4	1	5
RJ.Winckowski, P	27	1	0	0
LC.Booser, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Martin, P	8	1	1	0
RC.Anderson, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2C.Wong, C	2-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5V.Grissom, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Cooper, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8W.Abreu, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Sale, P	103	6	10
LD.Lee, P	25	2	2
LR.Kerr, P	11	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	2	2	4
6O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	1
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Duvall, LF	0-1	0	0	0