Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Red Sox at Cardinals

11:15 pm • BSMW

Boston Red Sox

11-8

2 - 7

St. Louis Cardinals

9-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 11-8	-1.5+140	o8.5-110	-120
Cardinals 9-11	+1.5-166	u8.5-110	+100

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 18, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Over 8.5-125

1.5u

BOS -120

$1500.00

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to 8 (+100)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Under 8-105

0.53u

STL +106

3.18u

Featured Insight
Red Sox have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season -- third lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored in at least three different innings in just 30% of their games this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (43 games). The Red Sox have scored just 0.8 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (44 games).

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MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks: Saturday Model Predictions
Billy Ward•
May 18, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 44-59 (.427) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Paul Goldschmidt has struck out in 39% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 10th highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

42% of Brendan Donovan strikeouts are looking this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 36% of Kutter Crawford strikeouts are looking this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (13/49) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (111-for-356) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 -- sixth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (16/66) against Kutter Crawford this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	BOS	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 8	STL -115
May 16th	@LAA	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -122
May 15th	@LAA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7	STL -142
May 14th	@LAA	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	STL -117
May 12th	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +130

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	99	5.2	5	1
LB.Bernardino, P	21	1	1	1
RJ.Slaten, P	26	1	1	4
RZ.Kelly, P	18	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	0-2	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, PH	1-1	0	0	1
2R.Refsnyder, RF	1-1	0	0	1
3C.Wong, C	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5T.O'Neill, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-2	0	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, SS	1-1	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	79	5	4	1
LJ.King, P	6	1	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	14	1	3	0
LJ.Romero, P	16	1	0	1
RK.Leahy, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, RF	2-5	0	0	2
2L.Nootbaar, CF	2-5	0	0	2
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
5A.Burleson, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6I.Herrera, C	1-4	1	0	1
7N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	2	1	2
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	1	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, RF	1-2	0	0	0