Red Sox vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 15, 2023

Red Sox at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Boston Red Sox

9-7

4 - 10

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Stroman			3.95	10-9
J.Paxton			4.50	7-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 9-7	-1.5+140	o9-105	-120
Cubs 11-5	+1.5-170	u9-115	+100

Saturday 6:20 p.m.

July 15, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

M.Stroman o17.5 Outs-140

$71.43

Over 8-115

BOS -104 (F5)

0.52u

Bet to -107

BOS -110

1.1u

BOS +104

0.5u

Bet to +100

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 15, 2023 UTC
Saturday Expert NRFI Bet: Custom Pick for Stroman & Strider
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See more MLB Coverage

The Red Sox are 17-12 (.586) after a win as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Rafael Devers is slugging .578 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth best among hitters with at least 378 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 29% of the time since last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CB-- 91st Percentile.

Rafael Devers has a miss rate of 23% on fastballs down since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Marcus Stroman has located his fastball down 50% of the time since last season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

James Paxton has allowed an OPS of just .559 (170 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .724 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .201 (41-for-204) against James Paxton this season -- 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .250 -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 15th	BOS	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS +115
Jul 9th	@NYY	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +125
Jul 8th	@NYY	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY +167
Jul 7th	@NYY	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8	CHC +134
Jul 6th	@MIL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -106

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	63	3	4	6
RT.Scott, P	29	1	1	2
LJ.Rodriguez, P	10	1	2	0
LJ.Jacques, P	14	1	1	0
LB.Walter, P	34	2	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	2-4	1	0	1
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5A.Verdugo, RF	0-4	0	0	1
6T.Casas, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
7C. Arroyo, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Wong, C	1-3	0	0	0
8J. Alfaro, C	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Hernandez, SS	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	91	6	3	1
RJ.Merryweather, P	20	1	2	2
RM. Fulmer, P	22	1	1	1
RD.Palencia, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	1-5	1	0	1
2S.Suzuki, RF	1-5	1	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	1	0	0
4C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	2	1	4
5Y.Gomes, C	1-4	0	0	0
6T. Mancini, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
7C.Morel, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
8M.Amaya, DH	2-3	2	0	1
9P.Wisdom, 3B	1-3	1	1	2