Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Red Sox at Guardians

10:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

11-8

1 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

9-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 11-8	-1.5+170	o8-113	+105
Guardians 9-12	+1.5-202	u8-107	-125

Tuesday 10:10 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 8-111

0.9u

T.Houck u4.5 Ks-110

B.Lively u5.5 Ks-133

1.5u

CLE -115

0.5u

Bet to -120

Under 8.5-120

B.Lively o4.5 Ks+110

0.55u

Ballpark pal projects 5.11 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -123 giving value to this number

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -106

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 4.2 runs per game on the road since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (94 games). The Guardians have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (90 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 0.4 runs per game in late innings this season -- lowest in MLB (22 games). The Red Sox have scored just 0.6 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (23 games).

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Josh Naylor is slugging .875 on breaking pitches this season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 45% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (23/36) against Tanner Houck this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% (56/153) against Ben Lively on fastballs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 99th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 60% of the time (59/99) with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -170
Apr 20th	ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -191
Apr 19th	ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8	CLE -159
Apr 18th	@BOS	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -110
Apr 17th	@BOS	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS +114

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	91	6	4	2
LB.Bernardino, P	14	1	0	0
LC.Booser, P	24	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0
1C.Rafaela, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Duran, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4W.Abreu, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Refsnyder, RF	3-3	0	0	0
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Wong, C	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Wong, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Dalbec, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-1	0	0	0
9P.Reyes, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Yoshida, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, SS	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	89	6.1	7	1
RS.Barlow, P	6	0.2	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	2-3	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Freeman, CF	1-3	2	0	1
7E.Florial, DH	1-3	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	1