Red Sox vs Nationals Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - August 16, 2023

BOS @ WSH

11:05 pm • MASN

Boston Red Sox

76-76

2 - 6

Washington Nationals

68-84

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gore			4.42	7-10
J.Paxton			4.50	7-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 76-76	-1.5+103	o9+100	-161
Nationals 68-84	+1.5-123	u9-120	+130

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

August 16, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Aug 16, 2023 UTC

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The Nationals are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .865 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .794 (380 PAs) since last season -- ninth worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

29% of Rafael Devers strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 44% of MacKenzie Gore's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (57/115) over the last 30 days (5 games) -- tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has an ERA of 7.64 (66.0 IP) against division opponents since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 -- 0 Percentile.

BOS

WSH

BOS ML

WSH ML

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 15th	BOS	L 4-5	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS +144
Aug 13th	OAK	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 10	WSH -143
Aug 12th	OAK	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	WSH -143
Aug 11th	OAK	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	WSH -120
Aug 10th	@PHI	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9	PHI +210

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 43-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Nationals' 75 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	84-68	41-34	43-34	14-12	70-54
Red Sox	70-82	29-46	41-36	30-46	40-35

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	71-73-8	33-37-5	38-36-3	9-16-1	60-57-7
Red Sox	75-69-8	34-37-4	41-32-4	36-38-2	38-31-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	68-84	36-39	32-45	15-11	53-71
Red Sox	76-76	35-40	41-36	42-34	34-41

Trevor Williams
P
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Luis Garcia
P
Luis García Jr. has been scratched Sunday
Out
Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	92	6	3	2
RJ.Schreiber, P	14	1	0	0
RG.Whitlock, P	25	1	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Refsnyder, LF	0-4	0	0	0
1R.Refsnyder, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Devers, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4T.Story, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Duvall, CF	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, LF	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Verdugo, RF	1-3	1	0	0
7P.Reyes, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
8T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	85	6.1	7	0
RJ.Weems, P	11	1	0	2
LJ.Ferrer, P	10	0.2	2	0
RK.Finnegan, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	2-4	1	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	2-3	1	0	0
4K.Ruiz, C	1-4	1	1	3
5S.Garrett, LF	2-4	2	2	2
6D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8M. Chavis, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
9A.Call, CF	0-2	0	0	0