Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2024

Red Sox at Orioles

10:35 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

11-10

8 - 3

Baltimore Orioles

8-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 11-10	+1.5-142	o8-118	+150
Orioles 8-11	-1.5+120	u8-102	-179

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

May 28, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

G.Rodriguez o1.5 BB-135

1.35u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-prop-picks-tonight-picks-for-grayson-rodriguez-nestor-cortes

BAL -1.5+126

Over 8-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

BAL -160 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -165

Featured Insight
Red Sox have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Orioles right-handed hitters have struck out 30% against LHP over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (142 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (129 games).

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The Red Sox are just 46-63 (.422) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .513 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Brayan Bello has allowed a SLG of .513 vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

65% of Rafael Devers fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 72% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- tied for sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (136/226) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 4-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Orioles' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	7-12	3-6	4-6	3-7	4-5
Red Sox	11-10	4-4	7-6	7-7	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	11-5-3	6-1-2	5-4-1	7-1-2	4-4-1
Red Sox	8-12-1	3-4-1	5-8	4-9-1	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	8-11	4-5	4-6	4-6	4-5
Red Sox	11-10	5-3	6-7	8-6	3-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 27th	BOS	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -159
May 26th	@CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -166
May 25th	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -170
May 24th	@CWS	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL -250
May 23rd	@CWS	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -230

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	90	5	7	3
LB.Bernardino, P	31	2	4	0
RJ.Slaten, P	18	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	1	1
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-0	0	0	1
2R.Gonzalez, RF	0-0	0	0	1
3R.Refsnyder, DH	2-4	2	1	2
4R.Devers, 3B	4-5	1	0	2
5C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	90	6	10	4
LC.Perez, P	11	1	0	1
RY.Cano, P	13	1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	29	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	0
4C.Cowser, LF	1-5	1	1
4C.Cowser, CF	1-5	1	1
5A.Santander, RF	1-3	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	2-3	0	2
7K.Stowers, DH	1-2	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, DH	0-1	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0
8A.Hays, PH	0-2	0	0
8A.Hays, LF	0-2	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	0-4	0	0