Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2024

Red Sox at Orioles

10:35 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

8 - 3

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-142	o8-118	+150
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+120	u8-102	-179

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

May 28, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

G.Rodriguez o1.5 BB-135

1.35u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-prop-picks-tonight-picks-for-grayson-rodriguez-nestor-cortes

BAL -1.5+126

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Over 8-115

Over 8-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

BAL -170 (F5)

1.7u

Listen to Payoff Pitch!

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

BAL -160 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -165

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

Featured Insight
Red Sox have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Orioles right-handed hitters have struck out 30% against LHP over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (142 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (129 games).

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The Red Sox are just 46-63 (.422) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .513 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Brayan Bello has allowed a SLG of .513 vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

65% of Rafael Devers fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 72% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- tied for sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (136/226) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 27th	BOS	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -159
May 26th	@CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -166
May 25th	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -170
May 24th	@CWS	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL -250
May 23rd	@CWS	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -230

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	90	5	7	3
LB.Bernardino, P	31	2	4	0
RJ.Slaten, P	18	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	1	1
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-0	0	0	1
2R.Gonzalez, RF	0-0	0	0	1
3R.Refsnyder, DH	2-4	2	1	2
4R.Devers, 3B	4-5	1	0	2
5C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	90	6	10	4
LC.Perez, P	11	1	0	1
RY.Cano, P	13	1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	29	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	0
4C.Cowser, LF	1-5	1	1
4C.Cowser, CF	1-5	1	1
5A.Santander, RF	1-3	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	2-3	0	2
7K.Stowers, DH	1-2	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, DH	0-1	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0
8A.Hays, PH	0-2	0	0
8A.Hays, LF	0-2	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	0-4	0	0