Red Sox vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2023

Red Sox at Royals

11:10 pm • BSKC

Boston Red Sox

4-4

9 - 5

Kansas City Royals

6-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Marsh			5.69	3-9
T.Houck			5.01	6-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 4-4	-1.5-120	o10.5-105	-180
Royals 6-4	+1.5+100	u10.5-115	+150

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

September 02, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC +195

0.5u

Bet to +170

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored 2.3 runs per game while trailing since last season -- tied for sixth-highest in MLB (214 games). The Royals have allowed 2.3 runs per game while leading since last season -- second-highest in MLB (180 games).

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .760 over the last week -- sixth-best in MLB. RoyalsRPs have allowed an OPS of .768 (2,319 PAs) over the last week -- third-worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 30-52 (.366) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Adam Duvall has an OPS of .926 this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 201 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Taylor Clarke has allowed an OPS of .842 (222 PAs) this season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fourth Percentile.

MJ Melendez is batting just .156 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 38% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 118 total SL-- 93rd Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (28/50) against Tanner Houck when he's behind in the count this season -- 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 39% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 2nd	BOS	W 13-2	+1.5 W	O 10	KC +164
Aug 31st	PIT	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PIT +105
Aug 30th	PIT	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -150
Aug 29th	PIT	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 9	PIT -120
Aug 27th	@SEA	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	SEA +260

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	95	5	5	4
RJ.Winckowski, P	19	1	0	0
RN.Pivetta, P	37	3	5	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	2-5	2	0	1
3J.Turner, DH	2-5	2	0	1
4T.Casas, 1B	2-4	2	1	2
5A.Duvall, CF	1-4	1	0	0
5A.Duvall, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Yoshida, LF	1-3	0	0	1
6C.Rafaela, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-5	1	0	2
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Valdez, 2B	1-4	0	0	2
9L.Urias, 2B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	60	2.2	1	6
LT.Davidson, P	28	1.1	1	2
RJ.Kowar, P	37	2	2	1
RC.Snider, P	8	1	0	0
RS.Cruz, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.McArthur, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
2B.Witt, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3M.Melendez, LF	3-3	1	1	2
4S.Perez, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5F.Fermin, C	0-5	0	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	3-5	2	0	0
7D.Waters, CF	1-5	1	0	0
8M. Beaty, DH	0-1	1	0	0
9N.Velazquez, RF	2-4	0	0	2