Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2023

Red Sox at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Boston Red Sox

11-7

9 - 3

Minnesota Twins

8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 11-7	+1.5-177	o7.5-110	+115
Twins 8-10	-1.5+146	u7.5-110	-140

Monday 11:40 p.m.

June 19, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

P.Lopez u6.5 Ks-140

1.4u

Projecting this closer to -180

MIN -145

MIN -125

1.25u

MIN -145

1.45u

A.Duvall o0.5 Hits-130

C.Correa o1.5 Total Bases+124

$40.00

MIN -131

$65.50

MIN -134

0.5u

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The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jarren Duran is batting .600 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third best among hitters with at least 105 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Pablo Lopez has a strike rate of 72% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Byron Buxton has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. James Paxton has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (272/752) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against James Paxton with two-strikes -- 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 -- 97th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (247/343) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	DET	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -190
Jun 17th	DET	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	MIN -190
Jun 17th	DET	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8	DET -255
Jun 15th	DET	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -217
Jun 14th	MIL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -159

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	91	6.1	7	3
RJ.Winckowski, P	18	0.2	1	0
RJ. Garza, P	37	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	3-3	0	0	2
1R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	1	0	0
1R.Refsnyder, LF	0-1	1	0	0
2A.Verdugo, RF	2-4	0	0	4
3R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Duvall, CF	0-3	0	0	1
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-5	0	0	0
6C. Arroyo, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	2-5	2	1	2
8C.Wong, C	1-4	2	0	0
9P.Reyes, SS	2-3	3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	104	5.2	9	4
LJ. Moran, P	13	0.1	0	1
RJ. De León, P	25	1.1	0	3
RE.Pagan, P	17	0.2	0	0
RG.Jax, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Solano, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
8J.Gallo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	1	1	3