Reds vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 3, 2023

Reds at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Cincinnati Reds

11-12

6 - 16

Chicago Cubs

14-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Smyly			5.00	11-11
B.Williamson			4.46	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 11-12	+1.5-138	o11-109	+136
Cubs 14-10	-1.5+114	u11-111	-163

Thursday 12:05 a.m.

August 03, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 10.5-108

CIN +136

CHC -1-120

S.Steer o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.48u

CHC -135 (F5)

0.68u

Bet to -145

CHC u5-118

1.18u

CHC -134

0.5u

Bet to -138

Featured Insight
Cubs hitters have a groundball rate of 45% since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored three or more runs in an inning 76 times (7%) over the last two weeks -- tied for third-highest in MLB. Reds have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played over the last two weeks -- fourth-highest in MLB.

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The Reds are 18-12 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .431.

The Reds are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

Tyler Stephenson has a miss rate of 29% on inside fastballs this season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Drew Smyly has located his fastball inside 53% of the time this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Jeimer Candelario is slugging just .332 on non-fastballs since last season -- tied for sixth worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Alex Young has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Cubs' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	13-11	6-5	7-6	7-4	6-7
Reds	13-9	7-5	6-4	4-2	9-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	15-8-1	8-3	7-5-1	8-3	7-5-1
Reds	11-10-1	5-6-1	6-4	1-4-1	9-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	14-10	6-5	8-5	8-3	6-7
Reds	11-11	6-6	5-5	4-2	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 2nd	CIN	W 20-9	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -168
Aug 1st	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -126
Jul 30th	@STL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	STL +114
Jul 29th	@STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 10	CHC -110
Jul 29th	@STL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	CHC +132

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Williamson, P	77	4.1	7	5
RB.Farmer, P	24	0.2	1	2
RL.Sims, P	16	0.2	2	1
LA.Young, P	31	1	1	2
RD.Law, P	2	0.1	0	0
RL.Maile, P	17	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Newman, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
1J.Fraley, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1J.Fraley, RF	0-2	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.McLain, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-4	1	1	2
4S.Steer, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
5C.Encarnacion-Strand, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	2-4	2	2	3
7T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0	0
8S.Fairchild, CF	1-2	0	0	0
8T.Friedl, PH	2-2	1	1	1
8T.Friedl, CF	2-2	1	1	1
9W.Benson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Smyly, P	88	4.2	7	5
RM.Fulmer, P	23	1.2	3	0
RM.Leiter, P	8	0.2	1	1
RJ.Merryweather, P	20	1	1	0
RJ.Cuas, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-6	2	0	0
2C.Morel, DH	2-5	1	1	3
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	1
3C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
4D.Swanson, SS	1-5	1	1	1
5I.Happ, LF	2-4	3	2	2
6Y.Gomes, C	1-5	1	0	1
7S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	2	1	2
8J.Candelario, 3B	4-4	4	0	0
9P.Wisdom, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Tauchman, PH	2-3	2	0	2
9M.Tauchman, CF	2-3	2	0	2