Reds vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Reds at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Cincinnati Reds

9-8

1 - 5

Seattle Mariners

6-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-8	+1.5-191	o7.5-107	+110
Mariners 6-13	-1.5+160	u7.5-112	-130

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

A.Abbott o5.5 Ks-125

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

SEA -127

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -136

B.Miller o5.5 Ks-130

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

B.Miller o6.5 Ks+120

0.6u

SEA -130 (F5)

1.3u

SEA -125 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -127

Featured Insight
Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mariners allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. The Reds scored first in just 43% of their games last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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NRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are 29-20 (.592) after a road win since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an OPS of just .343 with two strikes this season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .284 (36 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Cal Raleigh struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Fernando Cruz had a strikeout rate of 35% last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 30% (11 SO in 37 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season -- tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7	SEA -135
Apr 16th	CIN	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7	SEA -142
Apr 14th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -142
Apr 14th	CHC	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC +120
Apr 13th	CHC	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -130

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	104	6	6	2
RL.Sims, P	36	0.2	1	3
RA.Diaz, P	20	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Benson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	1
7T.Stephenson, C	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Martini, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	91	6	7	1
RT.Thornton, P	17	1	1	0
LG.Speier, P	15	1	3	0
RA.Voth, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	2-5	0	0	0
2M.Haniger, RF	1-5	1	0	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	1	1
5T.France, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Raleigh, C	1-2	1	1	2
7D.Moore, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, PH	1-2	1	1	1
8J.Rojas, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
9J.Clase, LF	0-3	1	0	0