Reds vs. Rockies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2024

Reds at Rockies

7:10 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

12 - 7

Colorado Rockies

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Hudson			6.17	2-12
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5+103	o12-106	-148
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-123	u12-116	+124

Wednesday 7:10 p.m.

June 05, 2024

Coors FieldDenver

CIN -148

0.68u

D.Hudson o3.5 Earned Runs-110

0.45u

Over 11.5-105

D.Hudson u15.5 Outs-118

0.85u

Projection leans to the under in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -170 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

CIN -125 (F5)

1.25u

Over 11.5-105

$1428.57

J.India o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.15u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases-118

$50.00

Featured Insight
The Reds have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- second highest in MLB. Rockies have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 30% against the Rockies RPs over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 33% over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Reds are 25-10 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The Rockies are just 17-59 (.224) after a road loss since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Ezequiel Tovar has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 46% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.29 (100.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 -- 0 Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (147/263) this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .431 (174 PA's) versus the bottom of the order since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .293 -- 0 Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has walked 42 of 347 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rockies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rockies are 37-44 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rockies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Rockies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	CIN	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 10.5	CIN +110
Jun 4th	CIN	L 3-13	+1.5 L	O 11	CIN -105
Jun 2nd	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +212
Jun 2nd	@LAD	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD +245
Jun 1st	@LAD	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	COL +272

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	73	3.2	2	4
LS.Moll, P	9	0.1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	18	2	1	1
LJ.Wilson, P	12	0.1	1	2
RL.Sims, P	17	0.2	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	11	1	0	0
LB.Suter, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-2	3	1	2
2E.De La Cruz, SS	3-5	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	2-5	1	1	2
4S.Steer, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
5J.Fraley, DH	1-3	2	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-5	1	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	1-3	1	0	1
7B.Dunn, PH	0-0	1	0	0
7B.Dunn, LF	0-0	1	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-3	2	1	5
9W.Benson, RF	1-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Hudson, P	81	4.1	4	4
RV.Vodnik, P	25	1.2	2	0
RN.Mears, P	22	1	2	0
RT.Kinley, P	19	1	2	2
LJ.Beeks, P	24	0.2	0	5
RA.Chivilli, P	7	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, RF	3-5	2	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	2-5	2	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4E.Diaz, DH	3-5	1	1	3
5B.Rodgers, 2B	2-4	1	0	3
6J.Stallings, C	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Montero, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.Cave, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9S.Bouchard, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Doyle, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Doyle, CF	0-0	0	0	0