Reds vs. Rockies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2024

Reds at Rockies

7:10 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

9-13

12 - 7

Colorado Rockies

12-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Hudson			6.17	2-12
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-13	-1.5+103	o12-106	-148
Rockies 12-11	+1.5-123	u12-116	+124

Wednesday 7:10 p.m.

June 05, 2024

Coors FieldDenver

CIN -148

0.68u

D.Hudson o3.5 Earned Runs-110

0.45u

Over 11.5-105

D.Hudson u15.5 Outs-118

0.85u

Projection leans to the under in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -170 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

CIN -125 (F5)

1.25u

Over 11.5-105

$1428.57

J.India o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.15u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases-118

$50.00

Featured Insight
The Reds have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- second highest in MLB. Rockies have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 30% against the Rockies RPs over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 33% over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Reds are 25-10 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The Rockies are just 17-59 (.224) after a road loss since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Ezequiel Tovar has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 46% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.29 (100.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 -- 0 Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (147/263) this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .431 (174 PA's) versus the bottom of the order since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .293 -- 0 Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has walked 42 of 347 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rockies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rockies are 37-44 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rockies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Rockies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	CIN	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 10.5	CIN +110
Jun 4th	CIN	L 3-13	+1.5 L	O 11	CIN -105
Jun 2nd	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +212
Jun 2nd	@LAD	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD +245
Jun 1st	@LAD	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	COL +272

Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	73	3.2	2	4
LS.Moll, P	9	0.1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	18	2	1	1
LJ.Wilson, P	12	0.1	1	2
RL.Sims, P	17	0.2	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	11	1	0	0
LB.Suter, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-2	3	1	2
2E.De La Cruz, SS	3-5	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	2-5	1	1	2
4S.Steer, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
5J.Fraley, DH	1-3	2	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-5	1	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	1-3	1	0	1
7B.Dunn, PH	0-0	1	0	0
7B.Dunn, LF	0-0	1	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-3	2	1	5
9W.Benson, RF	1-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Hudson, P	81	4.1	4	4
RV.Vodnik, P	25	1.2	2	0
RN.Mears, P	22	1	2	0
RT.Kinley, P	19	1	2	2
LJ.Beeks, P	24	0.2	0	5
RA.Chivilli, P	7	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, RF	3-5	2	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	2-5	2	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4E.Diaz, DH	3-5	1	1	3
5B.Rodgers, 2B	2-4	1	0	3
6J.Stallings, C	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Montero, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.Cave, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9S.Bouchard, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Doyle, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Doyle, CF	0-0	0	0	0