Reds vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Reds at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

11 - 4

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Soroka			4.75	0-10
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5+102	o9-115	-155
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-122	u9-105	+130

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

CIN -135 (F5)

Over 9-115

0.5u

CIN -135 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -155

M.Soroka u4.5 Ks-102

0.49u

Ballpark pal projects 4.21 Ks and +ev with devig odds of -146 giving value to this number

G.Ashcraft u5.5 Ks-142

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 5.34 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of -214 showing value at this number

Over 9-103

0.5u

B365 has even money. Bet to 9.5 (-110)

CIN -1.5-105

0.95u

Featured Insight
Opponents batted just .232 (560-for-2,413) against Reds RPs last season -- 10th best in MLB. The White Sox batted just .229 versus relief pitchers last season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters a groundball rate of 46% last season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are 29-20 (.592) after a road win since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The White Sox are just 49-37 (.563) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The White Sox are just 53-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Andrew Benintendi has an OPS of just .706 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .544 (565 PAs) since the 2022 season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted .325 (37-for-114) against Graham Ashcraft's elevated fastballs in the 2023 season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 -- third Percentile.

Mike Soroka has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 12% (8/64) against Mike Soroka on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- lowest among in AL; League Avg: 30% -- second Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	CIN	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CIN +110
Apr 12th	CIN	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN +148
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +215
Apr 9th	@CLE	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +202
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +197

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	104	5.2	8	1
RL.Sims, P	12	0.1	0	2
LJ.Wilson, P	22	1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	8	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	21	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-5	1	0	1
2W.Benson, CF	1-2	1	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-5	1	1	4
4S.Steer, LF	0-3	1	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	2-3	3	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	2-5	1	0	2
8N.Martini, DH	3-5	2	1	3
9T.Stephenson, C	1-5	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Soroka, P	91	4.2	4	5
LT.Banks, P	45	2	2	2
RJ.Anderson, P	14	1.1	0	0
LT.Hill, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Grossman, RF	1-2	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	1-5	0	1
3A.Vaughn, DH	1-4	1	0
4G.Sheets, 1B	1-4	0	1
5K.Lee, C	0-4	0	0
6D.Fletcher, CF	2-4	1	1
7L.Sosa, 3B	1-4	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	0-3	1	0