Rockies vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2023

Rockies at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Colorado Rockies

10-7

6 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7
A.Gomber			5.50	9-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 10-7	+1.5-125	o8-110	+170
Guardians 7-9	-1.5+105	u8-110	-200

Monday 10:10 p.m.

April 24, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+110

CLE -0.5 (F5)-135

$100.00

C.Quantrill u4.5 Ks+102

1.02u

Always have to be careful betting on the Rockies to go under a K prop on the road (their K rate is always going to be much higher away from Coors), but even after factoring that in I’m still showing a ton of value on the under. Quantrill has stayed under this number in all 4 starts thanks to a laughable 5.7% swinging strike rate. He seems to be going all-in as an extreme contact pitcher by throwing his sinker at a higher rate (in place of his cutter) this year. Projecting this closer to -150

Under 8-114

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

C.Blackmon o0.5 Total Bases-178

0.89u

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-101)

CLE -184 (F5)

0.92u

Bet to -192

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The Guardians are 20-19 (.513) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Rockies are just 42-24 (.636) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Jose Ramirez has struck out in just 11% of PA's this season -- tied for 11th lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 14% this season -- tied for 12th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is slugging .509 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Austin Gomber has allowed a SLG of .553 vs right-handed batters since last season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP-- first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (40 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low fastballs since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .428 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (26/171) against Cal Quantrill this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .479 (23-for-48) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .275 -- 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- third Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -124
Apr 23rd	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -140
Apr 22nd	MIA	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -137
Apr 19th	@DET	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -142
Apr 18th	@DET	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -134

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Gomber, P	83	5	3
RJ.Bird, P	15	2	1
RP.Johnson, P	16	1	1
RJ.Lawrence, P	5	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-5	1	1	3
3K.Bryant, RF	2-4	0	0	0
4C. Cron, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5E.Diaz, C	1-4	1	0	0
6M. Moustakas, 3B	3-4	2	0	0
7A.Trejo, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8B.Doyle, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9E.Tovar, SS	1-4	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	80	3.1	2	5
RN.Sandlin, P	6	0.2	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	31	1.2	2	1
RX.Curry, P	52	3.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-4	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6O. González, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M. Viloria, C	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	0	0	0