Tigers vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024

Tigers at Padres

10:40 pm • SDPA

Detroit Tigers

4-3

0 - 3

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5
T.Holton			2.19	7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	+1.5	+1.5-125	o8-111	+170
Padres 4-3	u8	-1.5+105	u8-109	-205

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 02, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

M.Machado o0.5 HR+450

0.25u

J.Musgrove o17.5 Outs-130

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Featured Insight
Padres have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season -- second lowest in MLB. The Tigers have scored in at least three different innings in just 40% of their games since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 68-14 (.829) when they've had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Padres are 10-53 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

32% of Jake Cronenworth strikeouts were looking in the 2022 season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 44% of Jason Foley strikeouts were looking in the 2022 season -- tied for second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

68% of Zach McKinstry fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among hitters with at least 690 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 70% of Joe Musgrove fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Joe Musgrove when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts -- tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .210 -- 95th Percentile.

Mason Englert has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (74 Total Bases / 121 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .371 -- first Percentile.

Mason Englert has allowed an OPS of 1.092 (96 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .725 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% (113/324) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 1st	@TB	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	SD -121
Aug 31st	@TB	L 4-11	+1.5 L	O 8	TB +102
Aug 30th	@TB	W 13-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SD +105
Aug 29th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -105
Aug 28th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -125

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Holton, P	32	2	1	0
RB.Hanifee, P	28	1	2	0
RT.Madden, P	56	4	1	2
RJ.Foley, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	0-3	0	0	0
1A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1A.Ibanez, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2R.Greene, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	2-4	0	0	0
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-2	0	0	0
4J.Malloy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Malloy, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5C.Keith, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Jung, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Sweeney, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Musgrove, P	94	6	8
RJ.Adam, P	10	1	0
LT.Scott, P	22	1	2
RR.Suarez, P	8	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-4	1	2
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	0
3D.Solano, 1B	0-3	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	1
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-4	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	2-3	0	0
7D.Peralta, LF	0-3	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	0
9M.McCoy, SS	2-3	1	0