Tigers vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Tigers at Rangers

12:05 am • BSSW

Detroit Tigers

4-3

2 - 10

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Dunning			3.70	12-7
J.Wentz			6.90	3-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	+1.5+108	o9-108	+198
Rangers 0-0	-1.5-130	u9-110	-240

Thursday 12:05 a.m.

June 29, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

J.Wentz u4.5 Ks-112

DET +198

0.6u

Available at FanDuel. My model has the Tigers' win odds at 40.9%, up from 33.6% implied. That's a big gap, and it's one that surprises me given how favorably my model generally views the Rangers. It's not as high on Dane Dunning, who has a 5.53 SIERA in 5 starts where he has been throwing more sliders thanks to just a 12.2% strikeout rate. It's possible the model is too high on Detroit, but we have a lot of wiggle room to be too high on them and still be above market.

Over 9.5+100

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The Rangers are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rangers are 17-6 (.739) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .569.

The Tigers are just 5-9 (.357) after a road win this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

Josh Jung has an OPS of .663 with two strikes this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Joey Wentz has allowed an OPS of .705 (166 PAs) with two strikes this season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	DET	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	TEX -192
Jun 27th	DET	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -200
Jun 25th	@NYY	L 3-5	-	-	-
Jun 24th	@NYY	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -148
Jun 23rd	@NYY	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX -110

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wentz, P	97	4.2	5	4
RG. Hill, P	59	2	3	4
RJ. Schoop, P	17	1.1	1	0
RJ. Schoop, P	17	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Z.McKinstry, LF	2-4	0	0	0
1Z.McKinstry, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3K.Carpenter, RF	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Baez, SS	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Rogers, LF	1-1	0	0	0
5E.Haase, C	0-4	0	0	0
6M. Cabrera, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7T.Nevin, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8Z.Short, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J. Marisnick, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P		100	8.2	10	2
RY.Rodriguez, P		5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	1-3	2	0	1
2J.Smith, SS	1-1	1	0	1
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	3-5	2	1	3
5J.Jung, 3B	2-5	2	1	2
6J.Heim, C	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Huff, C	0-1	0	0	0
7E.Duran, LF	2-4	1	1	2
8M.Garver, DH	1-4	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	2-5	1	0	1