Tigers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Tigers at Royals

12:10 am • BSKC

Detroit Tigers

4-3

3 - 2

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17
M.Manning			3.58	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	-1.5+120	o9-120	-136
Royals 3-3	+1.5-145	u9-102	+115

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

July 18, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

M.Manning o15.5 Outs-120

$145.83

J.Lyles o4.5 Ks+106

$48.00

KC +114

Available at FanDuel. Matt Manning has a 3.72 ERA through five starts this year, but the underlying numbers are concerning. Not only does he have just a 6.1% swinging-strike rate, but he's letting up a 45.2% hard-hit rate and 53.6% fly-ball rate. That can lead to big problems in a hurry. On the other side, Jordan Lyles is having a wretched year. But he has cut way back on his curveball usage his past six starts, and in that time, he's letting up just a 29.7% hard-hit rate. The peripherals on both guys lead my model to have the Royals favored straight up, which is why I'm okay taking plus money on the moneyline.

Under 9.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 9 (-103)

KC +115

0.5u

Bet to +106

Zerillo's Betting Card: Target the Total in Yankees-Angels
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 17, 2023 UTC

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The Tigers are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

45% of Maikel Garcia strikeouts are looking this season -- fifth highest among hitters with at least 136 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. 36% of Zach Eflin strikeouts are looking this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 16th	TB	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9	KC +184
Jul 15th	TB	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	TB +168
Jul 15th	TB	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 9	TB +210
Jul 9th	@CLE	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	KC +185
Jul 8th	@CLE	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE +160

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.Manning, P	81	5.2	3
LT.Holton, P	17	0.2	1
RB.White, P	8	0.2	1
RJ.Foley, P	13	1	1
RA.Lange, P	10	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Z.McKinstry, SS	0-4	0	0
1Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-4	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	0-3	1	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	0-3	1	0
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-2	0	1
5M.Vierling, RF	1-4	0	2
6N.Maton, 3B	0-4	0	0
6Z.Short, SS	0-0	0	0
7A.Ibanez, 2B	1-3	0	0
8A.Baddoo, LF	2-4	1	0
9E.Haase, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	83	6	4	0
RC.Hernandez, P	20	1	1	0
RT.Clarke, P	26	0.2	1	3
RJ.Cuas, P	12	0.1	1	0
RD.Coleman, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0
3M.Melendez, RF	1-3	1	0
4F.Fermin, C	3-4	1	1
5N.Pratto, 1B	1-3	0	1
6D.Waters, DH	0-4	0	0
7M.Massey, 2B	0-2	0	0
7M.Duffy, PH	0-2	0	0
7M.Duffy, 3B	0-2	0	0
8N.Lopez, 3B	0-3	0	0
8N.Lopez, 2B	0-3	0	0
9S.Taylor, LF	1-3	0	0