Tigers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Tigers at Royals

11:40 pm • BSKC

Detroit Tigers

4-3

3 - 10

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Marsh			4.54	9-9
C.Mize			4.49	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	-1.5+155	o9-102	-104
Royals 3-3	u0.5	+1.5-185	u9-118	-115

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 4.5 (F5)+100

0.5u

KC -112

0.89u

A.Marsh u15.5 Outs-114

Projection to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -143

KC -112

Over 9-104

Over 9-112

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 9.5 (+100)

DET -102

1.02u

Featured Insight
Tigers have allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Royals have answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Tigers are just 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .618.

The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

42% of Maikel Garcia strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among hitters with at least 552 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 43% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .639 since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .547 (446 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .315 vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)-- fourth Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among non-qualified SPs)-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Casey Mize -- 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- 96th Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (13 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .391 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 20th	DET	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -110
May 19th	ATH	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	KC -177
May 18th	ATH	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	KC -198
May 17th	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	KC -205
May 15th	@SEA	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	SEA +124

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	52	1.2	2	6
LT.Holton, P	36	3.1	2	2
RJ.Foley, P	20	1	0	1
LJ.Wentz, P	31	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Greene, LF	0-4	0	0
2M.Canha, DH	0-3	1	0
3W.Perez, CF	1-4	1	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	0-4	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	2-4	1	2
6C.Keith, 2B	3-4	0	1
7S.Torkelson, 1B	0-3	0	0
8Z.McKinstry, SS	0-2	0	0
8A.Ibanez, PH	0-2	0	0
8A.Ibanez, SS	0-2	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	94	6	5	3
LA.Zerpa, P	7	1	0	0
LS.Long, P	10	1	1	0
RN.Anderson, P	30	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	4-5	3	0	1
2B.Witt, SS	3-4	3	2	6
2G.Hampson, SS	0-0	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4S.Perez, C	2-5	0	0	1
5M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Frazier, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	1-3	2	1	1
9K.Isbel, CF	2-4	1	0	0