Twins vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - October 7, 2023

Twins at Astros

8:45 pm • FS1

Minnesota Twins

1-3

4 - 6

Houston Astros

3-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Verlander			2.95	1-1
B.Ober			12.46	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 1-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Astros 3-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:45 p.m.

October 07, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

Over 8-120

MIN +124

0.81u

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Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.5u

MIN +130

MIN +131

B.Ober u4.5 Ks+100

0.1u

MIN +135

MIN +140

0.75u

Bet to +138

Featured Insight
Twins hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% this season -- fourth-best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Astros this season -- tied for seventh-worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins have struck out 24% since last season -- tied for third-highest in MLB. Astros have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season -- second-highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 27-18 (.600) after a road win this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

47% of fastball strikeouts for Yordan Alvarez are located out of the zone since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 63% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .203 (13-for-64) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .272 (161 Total Bases / 593 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .400 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	0-2	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	@ARI	W 8-1	-1.5 W	U 9.5	HOU -225
Oct 1st	@ARI	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 9	HOU -130
Sep 30th	@ARI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	HOU +100
Sep 28th	@SEA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8	HOU -120
Sep 27th	@SEA	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8	SEA +102

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	43	3	2	3
RK.Maeda, P	43	2	2	2
RC.Paddack, P	19	1.1	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	18	0.2	1	1
RE.Pagan, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 3B	2-5	1	1	3
3R.Lewis, DH	1-5	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Correa, SS	2-4	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, LF	0-3	1	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	2-4	1	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Castro, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Castro, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	93	6	6	0
RH.Neris, P	18	0.2	2	4
RB.Abreu, P	29	1.1	3	0
RR.Pressly, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-3	2	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	2-3	3	2	3
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Abreu, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
6M. Brantley, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Dubon, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Dubon, CF	0-0	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7C.McCormick, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0