Astros vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2023

Astros at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Houston Astros

4-5

2 - 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

4-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9
J.Urquidy			5.29	3-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 4-5	+1.5-196	o9.5-110	+100
Diamondbacks 4-5	-1.5+165	u9.5-110	-120

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

September 30, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

Under 9.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -120

HOU o4.5-110

HOU +102

1.02u

ARI -115

0.58u

Bet to -116

ARI -132

J.France u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

France is under in 4/L6, and with this being a massive game for both the Astros and DBacks, Dusty is likely to manage this one incredibly tight - only Verlander has pushed past 5 IP this past turn through the rotation. Gallen going for the DBacks and he’s been nails at home all season (2.45 ERA). Coming off an off day with Urquidy rested and available for long relief (and Verlander going tomorrow), I see the Astros going to the pen early in this one (bullpen pitching to a 2.55 ERA the L2 weeks).

Z.Gallen o4.5 Ks-136

1.1u

This should be one one the last series where both teams should be giving it their all. That’s why I’m going Gallen for 5ks at home. Should be a good battle.

Featured Insight
Astros Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP this season -- third-lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters this season -- seventh-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth-highest in MLB. Astros have allowed a run 33% of the time after an opposing score this season -- ninth-highest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	@CWS	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CWS -182
Sep 27th	@CWS	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI -191
Sep 26th	@CWS	W 15-4	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -164
Sep 25th	@NYY	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7	NYY -118
Sep 24th	@NYY	W 7-1	-1.5 W	O 7	ARI -116

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Urquidy, P	70	6	2
RP.Maton, P	12	1	1
RH.Neris, P	16	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	18	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	1	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	1	0
5J.Abreu, 1B	1-3	0	2
6M. Brantley, LF	0-4	0	0
6M.Dubon, CF	0-0	0	0
7C.McCormick, CF	1-4	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	1-4	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	1-3	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	104	6.1	7	2
RR.Thompson, P	8	1	1	0
LA.Saalfrank, P	6	0.2	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-3	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0
3T.Pham, DH	0-3	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	0-4	1	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	1-4	0	1
7J.Lawlar, PR	0-0	0	0
8J. Peterson, 3B	1-3	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0