Twins vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Twins at Mariners

1:40 am • Fox Sports 1

Minnesota Twins

3-5

6 - 7

Seattle Mariners

5-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gilbert			3.73	13-7
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 3-5	+1.5-170	o7.5+100	+125
Mariners 5-8	-1.5+140	u7.5-120	-150

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

July 18, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

MIN +130

0.5u

Bet to +125

L.Gilbert u7.5 Ks-135

Projecting closer to -200

L.Gilbert o17.5 Outs-135

$175.00

MIN +115

Twins ML because we bet them everyday

S.Gray u5.5 Ks+108

1.08u

Available at FanDuel. Pitch counts with the Twins are always super erratic, making plus money on a larger number pretty attractive. Gray seems to be regaining some of his form with some better starts recently. But in nine starts with more four-seamers, he has topped 5.5 strikeouts just twice. He is in a high-strikeout matchup, but he's also on the road, and Gray's strikeout rate there is much lower than at home this year. I have Gray projected for 4.9 strikeouts, plenty of wiggle room to take the under.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 16th	DET	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -172
Jul 16th	DET	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	DET -205
Jul 15th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7	DET -185
Jul 9th	@HOU	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -140
Jul 8th	@HOU	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7	HOU +125

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	101	5.2	5	5
RO.Ortega, P	27	1.1	2	2
RJ.Lopez, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	0	1
2E.Julien, 2B	3-4	1	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5D.Solano, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Kepler, RF	2-5	1	1	3
7R.Jeffers, C	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, LF	1-4	1	1	1
8J.Gallo, CF	1-4	1	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	0
9M.Wallner, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Wallner, LF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P	94	5	5	2
LG.Speier, P	11	0.2	1	1
RM.Brash, P	21	1	3	0
RA.Munoz, P	19	1.1	3	0
RT.Adcock, P	15	0.2	1	3
RP.Sewald, P	5	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	0	0	1
3J.Kelenic, LF	2-4	1	0	2
4E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
5C.Raleigh, C	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Hernandez, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7T.France, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
8M.Ford, DH	0-2	1	0	0
9J.Caballero, 2B	1-3	1	0	1