Twins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Twins at Nationals

10:45 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

6-7

10 - 0

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-7	-1.5-107	o8.5-112	-177
Nationals 8-8	u0.5	+1.5-112	u8.5-108	+148

Tuesday 10:45 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

MIN -0.5 (F5)-120

Under 8.5-113

$2300.00

Over 8.5-102

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -105

WSH +1.5-108

J.Ryan o17.5 Outs-146

0.68u

Projection to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -187

J.Meneses o1.5 Total Bases+140

1.4u

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of +114

C.Correa o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.87u

Projection leans to over for Fade Corbin Day

MIN -168 (F5)

0.3u

Flat to -175

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .423 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Nationals RPs have allowed a SLG of .420 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are 64-7 (.901) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Twins are 90-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

CJ Abrams is batting .500 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for eighth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 71% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

45% of Edouard Julien strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest among hitters with at least 552 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. 44% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .335 (66-for-197) against Patrick Corbin this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 -- first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has walked 15 of 342 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 94th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .475 (80 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 -- first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has walked 7 of 212 batters (3%) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 20th	MIN	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +130
May 19th	@PHI	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +190
May 18th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	PHI +145
May 17th	@PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +200
May 15th	@CWS	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7	CWS +142

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Ryan, P	95	7	6
RG.Jax, P	16	1	3
RJ.Staumont, P	17	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Margot, RF	1-5	1	0	0
1M.Margot, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2R.Jeffers, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-3	1	0	0
3E.Julien, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
4M.Kepler, RF	0-0	1	0	0
5B.Buxton, CF	2-5	2	2	3
6W.Castro, LF	1-3	2	1	2
6W.Castro, 3B	1-3	2	1	2
7K.Farmer, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7K.Farmer, SS	1-3	1	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	2-3	1	0	1
8A.Kirilloff, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	106	6	3	8
RJ.Barnes, P	30	2	0	2
RT.Rainey, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0	0
1N.Nunez, SS	0-1	0	0	0
2E.Rosario, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2I.Vargas, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3V.Robles, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3V.Robles, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Ruiz, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	2-3	0	0	0