Twins vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - September 18, 2023

MIN @ CIN

10:40 pm • Fox Sports 1

Minnesota Twins

80-72

3 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

74-79

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Phillips			6.97	1-1
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 80-72	-1.5+105	o9.5-105	-157
Reds 74-79	+1.5-120	u9.5-115	+130

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Twins vs. Reds: Fade This Rookie Pitcher
Kenny Ducey•
Sep 18, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Jonathan India has a miss rate of only 14% on elevated fastballs this season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Joe Ryan has located his fastball up 65% of the time this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

MIN

CIN

No props found

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@NYM	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYM +115
Sep 16th	@NYM	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -104
Sep 15th	@NYM	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -105
Sep 14th	@DET	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +105
Sep 13th	@DET	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +115

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 45-31 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Reds' 77 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	83-70	38-39	45-31	30-36	53-34
Twins	67-85	32-43	35-42	44-58	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	71-74-8	33-38-6	38-36-2	37-26-3	34-48-5
Twins	77-69-6	39-31-5	38-38-1	57-39-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	74-79	37-40	37-39	33-33	41-46
Twins	80-72	42-33	38-39	61-41	18-30

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Anthony DeSclafani
P
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Hunter Greene
P
Greene is out with elbow
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P		84	5	5	4
LD.Keuchel, P		58	3	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	0-0	0	0	0
5K.Farmer, PH	1-4	0	0	1
5K.Farmer, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
7M.Wallner, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Phillips, P	93	7	7	2
RD.Law, P	7	1	0	0
LA.Young, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	3-4	1	0	1
4J.Fraley, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Senzel, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4N.Senzel, DH	1-1	1	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-3	1	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
7E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
9W.Benson, RF	1-3	1	1	3