Yankees vs. Athletics Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Since German returned from his sticky stuff suspension, his K% has dipped from 26% to 17% as has his swinging strike % (15.2% to 10.5%). He’s under in 4/5 starts since coming back. Yes it’s OAK, but really only 5 plus spots for him, and with the Yankees losing game 1, and German’s struggles the third time through (6 homers allowed, .904 OPS) he’ll once again be on a shorter leash. He’s also coming off his two worst starts of the season by far.

Available at FanDuel. My model puts the A's win odds here at 48.1%, up from 42.4% implied. That's even with the Yankees' offense being much more feisty against lefties without Aaron Judge than righties. JP Sears has pitched well of late, posting a 4.35 SIERA in 8 starts with more four-seamers thanks to minimal walks and a decent number of strikeouts. Sears lets up a lot of fly balls, but that's a lot less likely to hurt him at home in 63-degree temperatures than other conditions. Domingo German has been searching recently and still hasn't hit his groove, so I agree with the model in being high on the A's here.

Bet to +107