Yankees vs. Athletics Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Yankees at Athletics

1:40 am • NBCS-CA

New York Yankees

8-6

11 - 0

Athletics

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Sears			4.54	5-14
D.German			4.56	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+106	o7.5+100	-160
Athletics 0-0	+1.5-128	u7.5-120	+130

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

June 29, 2023

Oakland ColiseumOakland

OAK +140

D.German u5.5 Ks-116

D.German u5.5 Ks-110

1.1u

Since German returned from his sticky stuff suspension, his K% has dipped from 26% to 17% as has his swinging strike % (15.2% to 10.5%). He’s under in 4/5 starts since coming back. Yes it’s OAK, but really only 5 plus spots for him, and with the Yankees losing game 1, and German’s struggles the third time through (6 homers allowed, .904 OPS) he’ll once again be on a shorter leash. He’s also coming off his two worst starts of the season by far.

OAK +136

0.8u

Available at FanDuel. My model puts the A's win odds here at 48.1%, up from 42.4% implied. That's even with the Yankees' offense being much more feisty against lefties without Aaron Judge than righties. JP Sears has pitched well of late, posting a 4.35 SIERA in 8 starts with more four-seamers thanks to minimal walks and a decent number of strikeouts. Sears lets up a lot of fly balls, but that's a lot less likely to hurt him at home in 63-degree temperatures than other conditions. Domingo German has been searching recently and still hasn't hit his groove, so I agree with the model in being high on the A's here.

OAK +116 (F5)

OAK +112 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +107

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The Athletics are just 21-60 (.259) this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 30-75 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Yankees are 49-82 (.374) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Tony Kemp has an OPS of just .617 since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .550 (395 PAs) since last season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Athletics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Athletics are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Athletics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 39 of Athletics' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	NYY	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATH +115
Jun 25th	@TOR	L 1-12	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +232
Jun 24th	@TOR	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +232
Jun 23rd	@TOR	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9	ATH +255
Jun 22nd	@CLE	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE +145

Miguel Andujar
OF
Andujar is out with abdominal
Out
Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Esteury Ruiz
OF
Ruiz is out with wrist
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RD.German, P		99	9	9	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.LeMahieu, 2B	1-5	1	0	1
2G.Torres, DH	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	2	0	0
4G.Stanton, RF	2-3	1	1	3
4O.Cabrera, PR	1-1	2	0	0
4O.Cabrera, RF	1-1	2	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	2-5	1	0	0
6J. Donaldson, 3B	1-4	0	0	2
7I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-3	1	0	2
8K.Higashioka, C	1-5	1	0	1
9A.Volpe, SS	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Sears, P	92	4	5	5
RS.Fujinami, P	30	2	2	0
RY. Ríos, P	3	0	0	1
RA.Pruitt, P	20	2	0	0
LS.Long, P	33	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T. Kemp, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2R.Noda, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3B.Rooker, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4C. Pérez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Brown, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Bride, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Diaz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8S.Langeliers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Ruiz, CF	0-3	0	0	0