Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2024

Yankees at Orioles

10:35 pm • YES

New York Yankees

8-6

2 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10
N.Cortes			3.77	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+130	o9+100	-128
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-155	u9-120	+109

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

April 30, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 9+101

NYY -119

1.19u

NYY -130 (F5)

1.3u

J.Soto o0.5 HR+360

0.9u

NYY -115

0.58u

Superbook. Bet to -121

NYY -120 (F5)

0.6u

Bet to -130

Featured Insight
Yankees have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB. Orioles have won just 43% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 47% against the Yankees RPs over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Yankees are 66-38 (.635) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Yankees are 62-17 (.785) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .692.

The Orioles are 39-22 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .919 on breaking pitches this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Ian Hamilton has thrown his slider 56% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

57% of Ramon Urias strikeouts are looking this season -- fourth highest among hitters with at least 40 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 67% of Dennis Santana strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (269/711) against Nestor Cortes on sliders since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- third Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has a strike rate of 68% (379/556) this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 89th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .156 (45 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .287 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	NYY	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -135
Apr 28th	ATH	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATH -205
Apr 27th	ATH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -194
Apr 26th	ATH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -290
Apr 24th	@LAA	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BAL -130

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P		92	6	5	4
RL.Weaver, P		25	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	2-3	1	1	1
3A.Judge, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Wells, C	2-3	1	1	1
8O.Cabrera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	93	7	4	2
LK.Akin, P	10	0.2	1	0
RJ.Webb, P	15	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-3	0	1
2A.Rutschman, DH	2-4	0	1
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	0
5J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	0	0
6J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	0
7C.Mullins, CF	1-4	0	0
8J.McCann, C	1-4	1	1
9C.Cowser, LF	1-3	1	0