Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024
Yankees at Red Sox
11:10 pm • ESPNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.36 | 9-16 | |
 |  | 4.31 | 10-9 |
Yankees at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees 8-6 | -1.5 | -1.5+100 | o9-125 | -142 |
Red Sox 0-0 | u9 | +1.5-120 | u9-110 | +120 |
Fenway ParkBoston
Yankees vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Mike Randle
158d ago
Last 30d: 22-10-0 (+9.8u)
Under 9+105
1u
Tanner McGrath
158d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
Over 9-110
1u
M.Stroman u17.5 Outs-120
1u
Prop Bet Guy
158d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
M.Stroman u17.5 Outs-121
1u
Stroman struggles with his pitches efficiency vs lefties - 4.09 pitches per PA and a 13.3% walk rate, compared to 3.80 and 7.7% vs righties. He’ll get 6 lefty bats today, against a Red Sox team that has been grinding out their at bats all series vs the Yanks. Under in 8/14 starts overall, and Yanks with the off day tomorrow.
Bruce Marshall
159d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NYY -1.5+110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
159d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
NYY -133
$133.00
Tanner McGrath
159d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
BOS +115
1.15u
BOS +0.5 (F5)-140
1u
GoldBoys x JD Picks
159d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.3u)
D.Hamilton o1.5 Total Bases+120
1.2u
Ray Monohan
159d ago
Last 30d: 13-13-0 (-0.6u)
Over 9-110
0.68u
The Degenerates
159d ago
Last 30d: 72-77-3 (-12.8u)
NYY -1.5+120
2u
Kevin Thomas
159d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
BOS +125
1.25u
Brian Bitler
159d ago
Last 30d: 60-57-1 (+7.4u)
BOS +128
3.84u
Sean Zerillo
159d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
BOS +130 (F5)
0.65u
Bet to +123
PRO Insights
Yankees
NYY Insights
- Featured InsightYankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Yankees vs. Red Sox Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Enmanuel Valdez has struck out in just 6% of PA's over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Marcus Stroman has a strikeout rate of just 6% over the last two weeks -- second lowest among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.
79% of non-fastball strikeouts for Ceddanne Rafaela are located out of the zone this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 78% of Marcus Stroman non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 55% (99/180) over the last 14 days -- lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- second Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 73% (127/175) over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (5 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 -- 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 75% of the time (523/699) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 49% -- 100th Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Red Sox are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Red Sox are 17-3 (.850) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Yankees are 26-3 (.897) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .628.
The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Yankees vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Red Sox vs. Yankees Injury Updates
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Yankees Injuries
- Nestor CortesP
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
- JT BrubakerP
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out
Yankees vs. Red Sox Box Score
Yankees Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 102 | 5 | 3 | 4 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 16 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 17 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 20 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 84 | 6 | 9 | 3 | |
 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
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Yankees at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Yankees 8-6 | o5.5+110 | u5.5-140 |
Red Sox 0-0 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |