Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024

Yankees at Red Sox

11:10 pm • ESPN

New York Yankees

5-2

3 - 9

Boston Red Sox

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16
M.Stroman			4.31	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 5-2	-1.5	-1.5+100	o9-125	-142
Red Sox 4-4	u9	+1.5-120	u9-110	+120

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

June 16, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

NYY +100 (Live)

Over 10.5 (Live)-101

Under 9+105

Over 9-110

M.Stroman u17.5 Outs-120

M.Stroman u17.5 Outs-121

Stroman struggles with his pitches efficiency vs lefties - 4.09 pitches per PA and a 13.3% walk rate, compared to 3.80 and 7.7% vs righties. He’ll get 6 lefty bats today, against a Red Sox team that has been grinding out their at bats all series vs the Yanks. Under in 8/14 starts overall, and Yanks with the off day tomorrow.

BOS o3.5 Team Total-135

0.74u

NYY -1.5+110

NYY -133

$133.00

BOS +115

1.15u

BOS +0.5 (F5)-140

D.Hamilton o1.5 Total Bases+120

1.2u

Over 9-110

0.68u

NYY -1.5+120

NYY -135

1.35u

BOS +125

1.25u

BOS +128

3.84u

BOS +130 (F5)

0.65u

Bet to +123

Featured Insight
Yankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Enmanuel Valdez has struck out in just 6% of PA's over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Marcus Stroman has a strikeout rate of just 6% over the last two weeks -- second lowest among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

79% of non-fastball strikeouts for Ceddanne Rafaela are located out of the zone this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 78% of Marcus Stroman non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 55% (99/180) over the last 14 days -- lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- second Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 73% (127/175) over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (5 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 -- 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 75% of the time (523/699) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 49% -- 100th Percentile.

The Red Sox are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.

The Red Sox are 17-3 (.850) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Yankees are 26-3 (.897) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .628.

The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	5-3	1-0	4-3	3-1	2-2
Yankees	6-2	4-2	2-0	6-1	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	3-5	1-0	2-5	1-3	2-2
Yankees	6-2	4-2	2-0	5-2	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	4-4	1-0	3-4	3-1	1-3
Yankees	6-2	4-2	2-0	6-1	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	NYY	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9	BOS +150
Jun 14th	NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9	NYY +124
Jun 13th	PHI	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -110
Jun 12th	PHI	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 8	BOS +104
Jun 11th	PHI	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +134

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Wilyer Abreu
OF
Wilyer Abreu has been scratched Saturday.
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
IF
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is out with back
Out
Luis Gil
P
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	102	5	3	4
RT.Kahnle, P	10	1	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	16	0.1	0	2
RL.Weaver, P	17	0.2	1	1
RI.Hamilton, P	20	0.1	0	2
RM.Tonkin, P	11	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Soto, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-4	1	1	1
4A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, PR	1-1	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	1-4	1	1	1
9D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9D.LeMahieu, 1B	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	84	6	9	3
LB.Bernardino, P	12	0	0	0
RZ.Kelly, P	13	1	2	0
RG.Weissert, P	32	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-4	1	0
2D.Hamilton, SS	2-4	3	1
3R.Refsnyder, RF	2-3	1	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	2
5C.Wong, C	2-4	0	3
6M.Yoshida, DH	0-3	0	0
6B.Dalbec, PR	0-1	0	0
6B.Dalbec, DH	0-1	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	1	0
8D.Smith, 1B	1-4	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	3-4	1	2