76ers vs. Hornets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 4, 2024

+EV

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice 76ers and Hornets struggle offensively, ranking low in effective FG%. Injuries to key players like LaMelo Ball, Joel Embiid, and others impact scoring. Brandon Miller’s inefficiency and rookie Jared McCain's playmaking challenges hinder Charlotte. Defensively, Nick Richards boosts the Hornets’ rim protection, while Andre Drummond limits second-chance points. Low total aligns with past matchups.

2.57% ev

DK

Playing this for half a unit. Projections have him at 5.33 RA so this is less of a projection play and more of a system play. Green has been under 5.5 RA in five straight games. For the season he’s averaged 4 RA over 26.5 minutes but he’s seen an uptick in minutes and usage with LaMelo Ball, Tre Mann and Miles Bridges out. For the season he’s averaging 8.5 RA chances per game. It’s been 9.5 RA chances the last two games with LaMelo out, but Micic is taking on more point guard duties, Nick Richards is back and Mark Williams is questionable. Hornets also signed Isaiah Wong and DaQuan Jeffries is questionable, so they are getting some bodies back. It’s an average matchup against the 76ers. With the Hornets down shooters, I’m expecting Green to continue focusing on scoring and I’m hoping he continues to see 8.5 to 9.5 RA chances here, which would require him to convert 60%+ of his chances to clear this line.