Bulls vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - October 19, 2022

Bulls at Heat

11:30 pm • BSSUN

Chicago Bulls

13-16

116

116 - 108

Miami Heat

13-13

108

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bulls 13-16	+7.5-110	o216-109	+240
Heat 13-13	-7.5-110	u216-111	-312

Wednesday 11:30 p.m.

October 19, 2022

Kaseya CenterMiami

J.Butler u35.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Robot

MIA -7.5-110

0.55u

MGM

D.DeRozan u0.5 3pt M+115

Bet at DraftKings. In 14 games without Zach LaVine last season, DeMar DeRozan was 1-17 from 3PT. Facing the Heat last season, DeRozan was 1-10 from 3PT in 3 games.

D.DeRozan u0.5 3pt M+115

0.25u

B.Adebayo u9.5 Rebs-132

-132 on FD. Since Vucevic has been traded to the Bulls, Chicago has played Miami 5 times. In all 5 tilts, Bam hasn’t had more than 7 rebounds. Vucevic spends so much time away from the basket on offense it forces Adebayo to play possessions outside the paint. Pat Williams also looked aggressive to close the preseason on the offensive glass which is encouraging

Z.LaVine o2.5 3pt M+105

J.Butler u36.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-140

On DK. @PropBetGuy beat me to it. Inflated. Saw a 2.7 USG% and 3.1 MPG bump during the playoffs. Avg. 32.8 PRA under in 46/57 games last reg szn (80.1% rate). Herro is now in the starting lineup and should take more USG away. #PlayerProp

J.Butler u36.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.21u

Draft kings via @PropBetGuy

J.Butler u36.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

DraftKings. He averaged 32.8 PRA last year, and now will be in a starting lineup with Herro, Lowry and Bam. He also likely draws the toughest defensive assignment (Patrick Williams).

B.Adebayo o16.5 Pts-120

1.8u

On DK. This 16.5 number is well below his 19.1 points per game average in 2022. From March to the end of the regular season, Adebayo averaged 19.4 points per game when playing 30+ minutes, consistently scoring 17+ points in 14 of the 19 games. In the last meeting vs. this team, Adebayo scored 16 points in 26 minutes, only taking just two free throw attempts. It was a blowout and well below his 6.1 free attempts average on the season. Positive regression. The Chicago Bull's main weakness on defense was their inside paint protection. They allowed the eighth most points in the paint and have not made any acquisitions over the offseason to address the problem. Nikola Vucevic had a 112.8 defensive rating, and now backup Andre Drummond had a 109.8 defensive rating. Over the offseason, Pat Riley and Coach Spo have expressed they want Adebayo to attempt 15+ shots per game, and veteran Udonis Haslem said it's time for him to take over the leadership role. He averaged 21.3 points per game in the preseason. If that is the case tonight, Adebayo is 17-0 to the over when seeing this volume. This is playable for 1 unit at 17.5 as well. #PlayerProps

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NBA Public Betting

Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 5-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Heat' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	11-15	6-7	5-8	7-9	4-6
Bulls	14-14-1	6-8	8-6-1	3-1-1	11-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	15-11	7-6	8-5	8-8	7-3
Bulls	16-13	7-7	9-6	2-3	14-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	13-13	N/A	N/A	10-6	3-7
Bulls	13-16	N/A	N/A	4-1	9-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 12th	NOP	W 120-103	-4.5 W	O 219.5	MIA -180
Oct 10th	HOU	W 118-110	+2 W	O 219	MIA +108
Oct 8th	@MEM	W 111-108	+9.5 W	O 209	MIA +290
Oct 6th	@BKN	W 109-80	+4 W	U 220.5	MIA +135
Oct 4th	MIN	L 111-121	-6 L	O 213	MIN -225