Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - March 23, 2024
Cavaliers at Timberwolves
12:00 am • BSNCavaliers at Timberwolves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers 16-1 | +4.5 | +7.5-111 | o206.5-108 | +237 |
Timberwolves 8-7 | u211.5 | -7.5-109 | u206.5-111 | -295 |
Saturday 12:00 a.m.
March 23, 2024Target CenterMinneapolis
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
243d ago
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (-8.7u)
D.Garland o4.5 3pt M+600
0.25u
D.Garland o2.5 3pt M-122
1.22u
D.Garland o3.5 3pt M+240
0.5u
Joe Dellera
244d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
N.Reid o19.5 Pts+240
1u
Over in 4/8 without KAT. Really would’ve been 5 had he not left early with 17 in his last game due to the head injury
Prop Bomb 🏝
244d ago
Last 30d: 14-12-0 (+1.0u)
A.Edwards u29.5 Pts-114
1u
This one is admittedly scary considering he’s averaging 31.8 PPG in the 9 games playing without Karl-Anthony Towns, but remove the 34+ PTS games vs. bottom-16 defenses (IND, UTA, & SAS), this number drops to 28.7 PPG.
And one of these games came against the same team he’s playing tonight - The Cleveland Cavs (19 PTS). On the season, they rank 3rd best in limiting PNR BH PTS (23% of his PPG) and are top-10 in limiting transition PTS & points inside the paint over the last 8 games without Evan Mobley.
The defensive assignment will undoubtedly come from Isaac Okoro here. He’s been doing a great job limiting opposing team’s best players in coverage including: Lillard 9-34 FG, J. Brown 1-11 FG, Ant 2-10 FG, Paolo 2-10 FG, & Tatum 3-8 FG.
So while Ant may dominate USG%, this is not a spot where his shots will come easy, & I’m banking on the poor shot quality to outweigh the efficiency here. #PlayerProps
Joe Dellera
244d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
R.Gobert o14.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1u
The Timberwolves take on the Cavaliers tonight and both teams are missing key offensive players with Donovan Mitchell for the Cavs and KAT for the Wolves.
One player to target is our favorite French Fry, Rudy Gobert.
Gobert has had solid history against Allen, in 8 career games he has averaged 14.4 points, 14.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists. One of those games he played just 13 mins so removing that game he averages 15.6 points, 16.3 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game.
Moreover, without KAT, Gobert sees a larger share of the rebounding opportunities. Without KAT, he is averaging 15.2 rebounds per game this season including a 17 rebound effort on an absurd 31 rebounding chances against the Cavaliers on 3/8. That game went to OT but Gobert didn’t play after hitting the refs with the money sign 🤌🤌
I’m doing the combo prop with assists because Gobert has actually seen an uptick in potentials without KAT. On the season, he averages 1.2 on 2.0 potentials but without KAT he’s at 1.8 on 3.25 potentials. The floor is fairly high for 1 extra dime to justify going from 13.5 Rebounds to 14.5 RA and there is a bit of extra upside as well.
Gobert (rib) should thrive in this matchup as long as he plays. I like him to exceed 14.5 RA.
PRO Insights
Cavaliers
CLE Insights
- Featured InsightThe Cavaliers have forced 14.4 turnovers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-7th-highest in the NBA; the Timberwolves have averaged 15.4 turnovers/game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- highest in the NBA.
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Timberwolves
MIN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Timberwolves have allowed 13.1 second chance points per game at home this season -- T-9th-best in the NBA; the Cavaliers have averaged 12.9 second chance points per game on the road this season -- 7th-lowest in the NBA.
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Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Timberwolves are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' 7 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5-10 | N/A |
Cavaliers | 13-4 | 7-2 | 6-2 | 10-4 | 3-0 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 9-6 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 9-6 | N/A |
Cavaliers | 12-5 | 7-2 | 5-3 | 11-3 | 1-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 8-7 | N/A | N/A | 8-7 | N/A |
Cavaliers | 16-1 | N/A | N/A | 14-0 | 2-1 |
Last 5 Matchups
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates
Cavaliers Injuries
- Caris LeVertPG
Caris LeVert (knee) out Tuesday.
Out
- Jarrett AllenC
Jarrett Allen (leg) probable Wednesday.
Probable
- Darius GarlandPG
Darius Garland (illness) out Wednesday.
Out
- Max StrusPF
Strus is out with ankle
Out
- Sam MerrillPG
Sam Merrill (ankle) available Tuesday.
Probable
- Isaac OkoroSG
Isaac Okoro (ankle) out Tuesday.
Out
- Emoni BatesSF
Bates is out with knee
Out
- Craig PorterPG
Porter is doubtful with thumb
Doubtful
Timberwolves Injuries
Player Stats
- scoringMike Conley21ppg
- reboundingRudy Gobert15rpg
- assistsMike Conley6apg
- shooting-100fg%
Team Stats
34-81 (42%)
Field Goals
41-84 (49%)
16-19 (84%)
Free Throws
8-16 (50%)
7-29 (24%)
3P
14-27 (52%)
41
Rebounds
45
22
Assists
27
Turnovers
6
Steals
8
5
Blocks
5
14
Fouls
12
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison
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Cavaliers at Timberwolves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Cavaliers 16-1 | o99.5-115 | u99.5-115 |
Timberwolves 8-7 | o106.5-120 | u106.5-110 |