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Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2025

Cavaliers at Heat

11:30 pm • TNT
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Cleveland Cavaliers

3-0
@

Miami Heat

0-3

Cavaliers at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cavaliers
3-0
-9
-8.5-110
o210-112
-375
Heat
0-3
u210.5
+8.5-110
u210-110
+295
location pinMonday 11:30 p.m.
April 28, 2025
Kaseya CenterMiami
Cavaliers vs. Heat Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 82-64-2 (+1.2u)
K.Ware u5.5 Rebs+105
0.48u
Going back to this. The volume was there for Ware in Game 3 as he grabbed 5 rebounds over 12 rebound chances, but it was over 19 minutes and 5:34 of that was in garbage time. If this game were close, I don’t think he would have come back in. His surface stats looked good but with this being an elimination game, he’s going to have a quick hook. The Cavs appear to be targeting Ware specifically in pick-and-roll sets, and Coach Spo doesn’t seem to fully trust Ware in this series as he’s averaging just 19.3 minutes per game. Willing to go back to this prop at plus-odds.

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Cavaliers vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Cavaliers

Public

Home Logo

Heat

70%

Bets%

30%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Heat are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Heat' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Heat' 41 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat		39-42-122-1917-23-121-2418-18-1
Cavaliers		48-33-122-18-126-1542-31-16-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Heat		44-3825-1619-2226-1918-19
Cavaliers		50-31-125-1625-15-146-27-14-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat		0-3N/AN/A26-1911-26
Cavaliers		3-0N/AN/A60-144-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 26thCLEL 87-124+5 LU 211.5CLE +158
Apr 23rd@CLEL 112-121+12 WO 213CLE +475
Apr 20th@CLEL 100-121+12.5 LO 216CLE +540
Apr 18th@ATLW 123-114-2 WO 221MIA -130
Apr 16th@CHIW 109-90+2 WU 220MIA +110

Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury Updates

Cavaliers Injuries

  • Darius Garland
    PG

    Darius Garland (toe) out Saturday.

    Out

  • Dean Wade
    SF

    Dean Wade (illness) expected to play Sunday.

    Probable

Heat Injuries

  • Dru Smith
    PG

    Smith is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jaime Jaquez
    PG

    Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable Friday.

    Probable

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Player Stats
  • scoring
    Tyler Herro logo
    Tyler Herro
    23.9
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Bam Adebayo logo
    Bam Adebayo
    9.6
    rpg
  • assists
    Tyler Herro logo
    Tyler Herro
    5.5
    apg
  • shooting
    Keshad Johnson logo
    Keshad Johnson
    69.3
    fg%
Team Stats

44-90 (49%)
Field Goals
40-87 (46%)
16-21 (76%)
Free Throws
15-20 (75%)
15-41 (37%)
3P
13-37 (35%)
45.4
Rebounds
43.39
28.1
Assists
26.4
12.54
Turnovers
12.63
8.17
Steals
8.15
4.27
Blocks
3.83
18.13
Fouls
15.55

Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds Comparison

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Cavaliers at Heat Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Cavaliers
3-0
N/A
N/A
Heat
0-3
N/A
N/A