Heat vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2025

Heat at Hawks

11:00 pm • TNT

Miami Heat

37-45

123

123 - 114

Atlanta Hawks

40-42

114

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 37-45	+1.5	-2-108	o221-110	-130
Hawks 40-42	u218	+2-112	u221-110	+110

Friday 11:00 p.m.

April 18, 2025

State Farm ArenaAtlanta

ATL -110 (Live)

MIA +4.5 (Live)-108

Small hedge.

T.Herro o25.5 Pts (Live)-112

T.Mann o4.5 Pts-130

0.25u

Tailing @PropBomb

T.Mann o4.5 Pts-130

0.5u

#Tailing @PropBomb

T.Mann o4.5 Pts-130

Buying low here and love that he’s back at home. Mann is averaging 14.0 PPG against Miami and has scored 13+ in all three matchups. He wasn’t needed last game vs. Orlando due to a size mismatch—Gueye got the nod instead, and the Magic are elite at limiting spot-up looks. But Miami presents a much different scenario. From a matchup standpoint, if the Heat choose to trap or run zone on Trae Young, spot-up threats like Mann should see more volume. Plus, his ball-handling will be key in helping bring the ball up and easing pressure off Trae. He should be a safe bet for 15+ minutes tonight and be really needed if Atlanta wants a chance at winning. #PlayerProps

ATL +110

Over 220.5-105

1.9u

Over 221-112

0.45u

A.Wiggins u19.5 Pts-113

ATL +100

D.Daniels u4.5 Ast+100

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

D.Daniels u4.5 Ast+100

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

D.Daniels u4.5 Ast+100

I project this closer to -140. He’s cleared in 4 of his last 5 but has run very hot.. converting 73% of his potential assists over that stretch (33 of 45), compared to just 51% on the season. His teammates have been on fire, but with ATL’s implied team total 13 points lower than that recent avg, that should help speed up the incoming regression. Based on his pass mix, I had him closer to 21.9 expected assists over the 5-game span (vs 33 actual). Last game? Just 3.7 expected..and he still landed 7. Trae should take over more tonight and tilt the potential assist share. Time to sell high.

D.Mitchell o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

0.95u

4.07% ev

Over 221-115

T.Herro o2.5 3pt M-130

0.92u

3.72% ev

ATL +100

ATL -9.5+330

0.5u

10 seeds have never made the actual playoffs, and their 8 losses have been by an average of 15 pts and at least double digits all but one. The numbers are the numbers: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-play-in-tournament-betting-trends-stats-notes

D.Daniels u7.5 Rebs-130

3.14% ev

Under 221+100

A.Wiggins o24.5 Pts+Rebs-117

0.25u

Tailing @JoeDellera

D.Daniels u13.5 Pts+100

0.5u

Tailing @JoeDellera

T.Herro o26.5 Pts+114

1.48u

6.15% ev

Over 55.5 (1Q)-118

0.85u

3.56% ev

D.Daniels o14.5 Pts+124

1.6u

8.25% ev

D.Daniels u0.5 3pt M+160

0.5u

CJ: “Here we go again.”

A.Wiggins o24.5 Pts+Rebs-117

0.85u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-for-play-in-tournament-games-on-friday-april-18-qs

D.Daniels u13.5 Pts+100

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-for-play-in-tournament-games-on-friday-april-18-qs

ATL -106

15-6 RUN 💰 Drop a LIKE if you’re tailing this winner ❤️

ATL -109

ATL hoe

G.Niang o9.5 Pts+112

0.67u

3.07% ev

MIA -105

0.52u

Under 219.5-110

1.1u

ATL +1-110

1.1u

T.Herro o4.5 Rebs-125

0.8u

3.19% ev

ATL -0.5 (1H)+105

0.9u

3.59% ev

A.Wiggins o5.5 Rebs+110

0.77u

3.47% ev

B.Adebayo o20.5 Pts+114

0.9u

4.35% ev

B.Adebayo o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+108

1.2u

5.44% ev

B.Adebayo o10.5 Rebs+132

0.79u

3.39% ev

M.Gueye o4.5 Rebs+100

1.5u

6% ev

D.Daniels o26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+118

0.7u

3.49% ev

T.Young o11.5 Ast+136

0.8u

4.23% ev

T.Young o42.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+122

2.44u

9.5% ev

D.Daniels o4.5 Ast+115

0.9u

3.99% ev

O.Okongwu o28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+116

1.39u

5.33% ev

Z.Risacher o11.5 Pts+100

1.3u

5.16% ev

K.Ware o8.5 Rebs+120

0.8u

3.83% ev

O.Okongwu o10.5 Rebs-110

1.09u

4.55% ev

A.Wiggins o1.5 3pt M-150

1.07u

4.28% ev

T.Herro u5.5 Ast-120

6.76% ev

O.Okongwu o14.5 Pts+110

1.43u

6.02% ev

C.LeVert o1.5 3pt M+120

1.56u

6.64% ev

ATL -110

1.1u

Z.Risacher o1.5 3pt M+100

1.2u

5.09% ev

D.Mitchell o6.5 Ast+122

1.1u

5.47% ev

T.Young o3.5 3pt M+124

1.98u

8.09% ev

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Hawks are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Hawks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Hawks are 14-27 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Hawks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Hawks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	29-53	15-26	14-27	15-27	14-26
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Hawks	45-36-1	26-15	19-21-1	23-19	22-17-1
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	40-42	21-20	15-26	24-18	12-28
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 15th	@ORL	L 95-120	+6 L	U 220.5	ORL +200
Apr 13th	ORL	W 117-105	+3.5 W	O 215.5	ATL +145
Apr 11th	@PHI	W 124-110	-11.5 W	U 240	ATL -650
Apr 10th	@BKN	W 133-109	-13.5 W	O 234.5	ATL -900
Apr 8th	@ORL	L 112-119	+5.5 L	O 225.5	ORL +172