Grizzlies vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 14, 2023

Grizzlies at Rockets

1:00 am • Space City Home Network

Memphis Grizzlies

29-15

104

104 - 117

Houston Rockets

29-14

117

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Grizzlies 29-15	+9.5	+9.5-110	o210.5-108	+300
Rockets 29-14	u210.5	-9.5-110	u210.5-112	-380

Thursday 1:00 a.m.

December 14, 2023

Toyota CenterHouston

MEM +8.5-110

1.1u

J.Smith o13.5 Pts+Ast-130

0.77u

Under 212.5-110

Low ass fucking total man - if i’m burned im burned

D.Brooks o11.5 Pts-130

MEM +6-110

J.Smith o12.5 Pts+100

Discussed this with @MattyChucks on @CashThatPodcast Jabari Smith has had a couple rough games in a row but this is a bounce back spot against the Memphis Grizzlies. Jabari presents a number of specific difficulties for the Grizzlies including his size and ability to stretch the floor with the 3 point shot - this sets up for a tougher game for Alperen Sengun and a Usage uptick for Jabari. In Five matchups against the Grizzlies, Jabari has exceed this in three games, but most importantly, they are the three most recent considering he struggled out of the gate in his rookie season. In each of the overs he made 2+ 3s, and while over 1.5 3s is a look, I prefer to remove a bit of the shooting variance considering he only takes 4.4 attempts per game. I'm comfortable taking this at ESPN (+100) and prefer it a touch to the 11.5 (-130) that is in the market. That's a 6.52% implied probability change for just the one point. 📊 @propsdotcash

MEM +6.5-112

HOU -7-110

0.91u

HOU -7-110

Under 212.5-110

0.55u

Featured Insight
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 44% on the road this season -- third-best in the NBA. The Houston Rockets have shot 46% (437/954) at home this season -- fifth-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Houston Rockets have allowed 105.6 points per game this season -- best in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 106.5 points per game (2,344 points/22 games) this season -- tied for lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Rockets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rockets are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rockets are 13-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rockets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Rockets' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockets	25-17-1	12-10	13-7-1	18-13	7-4-1
Grizzlies	28-14-2	14-7-1	14-7-1	19-9-2	9-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rockets	22-20-1	10-11-1	12-9	17-13-1	5-7
Grizzlies	28-16	11-11	17-5	17-13	11-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockets	29-14	N/A	N/A	23-8	6-6
Grizzlies	29-15	N/A	N/A	23-7	6-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 12th	SAS	W 93-82	-9 W	U 223.5	HOU -375
Dec 9th	@DEN	W 114-106	+9 W	U 221	HOU +310
Dec 7th	OKC	W 110-101	+1.5 W	U 224.5	HOU +105
Dec 3rd	@LAL	L 97-107	+5 L	U 226.5	LAL +160
Nov 30th	@DEN	L 124-134	+10 L	O 217.5	DEN +350