Heat vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - February 27, 2024
Heat at Kings
3:00 am • NBA TVHeat at Kings Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Heat 13-13 | +8 | +7.5-109 | o224-111 | +235 |
Kings 13-16 | u227 | -7.5-111 | u224-108 | -289 |
Tuesday 3:00 a.m.
February 27, 2024Golden 1 CenterSacramento
Heat vs. Kings Expert Picks
Milly Props
299d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
D.Robinson o2.5 3pt M (Live)+899
0.25u
B.Adebayo o3.5 Ast-140
0.71u
Prop Bet Guy
300d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-115
1u
Over in 16/L23 home games, where he averages 18 ppg. Numbers down lately, but that’s because he’s played 11/L14 on the road (where he only averages 12 ppg). Great spot vs MIA who allow a ton of spot up shooting (most pts on second highest frequency) - Keegan crushed this matchup with 33 pts in Miami a few weeks ago. Bad spot for Sabonis and Fox as well.
Mark Franco
300d ago
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.7u)
MIA +7.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
300d ago
Last 30d: 98-110-2 (+15.1u)
MIA +7-111
0.97u
Mjaybrod
300d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
Under 224.5-110
1u
This seems pretty damn low for Kings home game
Green Dot Daily
300d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
MIA +6.5-112
0.89u
@HPBasketball
M.Monk o16.5 Pts-120
1u
Via Jim Turvey
Markus Markets
300d ago
Last 30d: 66-84-1 (+6.3u)
J.Jaquez o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104
0.96u
Joe Dellera
300d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
J.Jaquez o15.5 Pts-120
0.42u
C.Martin o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.71u
Bruce Marshall
300d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +7.5-108
0.93u
Gilles Gallant
300d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-125
0.5u
Tailing @JoeDellera x2
Sandy Plashkes
300d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
D.Sabonis u19.5 Pts-116
$50.00
Joe Dellera
300d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-104
1.2u
Keegan Murray has one of the wildest home and road splits in the NBA. On the road he averages just 12.1 points per game while shooting just 42.6% from the field and 28.7% from 3. At home? This spikes to 18.0 points per game on 49.8% shooting including 42.4% from deep.
Luckily for the Kings, this is a home game against the Miami Heat.
Miami will be without a number of players tonight headlined by Jimmy Butler, but stylistically they have been a strong matchup for Murray due to all of the zone they play and that they allow the third-highest frequency of 3 point attempts.
In 3 games against Miami, he’s scored 33, 7, and 22 points with the 33 point effort being the most recent.
His points prop is set at 13.5, a number he’s exceeded in 70% of home games this season and even his 20+ prop is worth a shot considering it’s priced at (+480) which has a 17.2% implied odds, yet he has 20+ in 39% of home games (9/23).
I like Murray to exceed 13.5 Points tonight.
K.Murray o19.5 Pts+480
1.01u
Brian Bitler
300d ago
Last 30d: 89-78-2 (+22.6u)
MIA +7.5-109
2.75u
PRO Insights
Heat
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightThe Heat are 23-7 (.767) when scoring 110 or more points this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Kings have allowed 117.8 points per game this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.
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Kings
SAC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Kings have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game this season -- best in the NBA; the Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game this season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Kings Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Kings Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Kings are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Kings are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Kings are 6-7 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Kings' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Kings' 16 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Kings vs. Heat Injury Updates
Kings Injuries
- Devin CarterPG
Carter is out with shoulder
Out
Heat Injuries
- Josh RichardsonPG
Richardson is out with heel
Out
- Kevin LoveSF
Kevin Love (back) probable Wednesday.
Probable
- Jimmy ButlerSF
Jimmy Butler (illness) doubtful Saturday.
Doubtful
Player Stats
- scoringKeegan Murray28ppg
- reboundingDomantas Sabonis14rpg
- assistsDomantas Sabonis10apg
- shooting-100fg%
Team Stats
Heat vs. Kings Odds Comparison
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Heat at Kings Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Heat 13-13 | o108.5-108 | u108.5-117 |
Kings 13-16 | o116-112 | u116-112 |