Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 1, 2024
Heat at Nuggets
3:00 am • TNTHeat at Nuggets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Heat 37-45 | +6 | +6.5-112 | o214.5-109 | +210 |
![]() Nuggets 50-32 | u221.5 | -6.5-108 | u214.5-111 | -257 |

Ball ArenaDenver
Heat vs. Nuggets Expert Picks

Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 61-85-6 (-5.7u)
A.Gordon o5.5 Rebs (Live)-130
0.38u
Betting at halftime. Gordon rebounds skyrocket without Murray who now won’t return tonight.

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 376-522-15 (+19.0u)
DEN -6-114
1.25u
… good teams 7.5 to 4.5 fav at home
Overall: 219-121-6,64% (ROI:24%)
Season:20-19-0,51% (ROI:-2%)

Jay Money
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (+0.4u)
MIA +6.5-108
0.5u

Nick Martin
Last 30d: 123-151-7 (+16.6u)
J.Murray u21.5 Pts-120
0.42u
@propbomb

Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 7-3-0 (+3.7u)
J.Murray u21.5 Pts-120
1u
Avg. 18.2 PPG Per-36 MIN vs. MIA in Finals. 6th fewest PPG vs. PG L30 days. MIA ranks inside top-5 in PnR BH, Transition, & FTs allowed - 53% of his PPG. No K. Love, MIA will go small w/ Jimmy, Caleb, & Haywood defense. #PlayerProps

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 114-121-7 (+45.4u)
M.Porter o5.5 Rebs-140
1u

Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Adebayo u34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118
1u
Adebayo under this line in 5/L6 vs Jokic, dating back three seasons. His usage and production without Herro sees a very small uptick - it’s a bigger spot now for Butler, Rozier, Duncan. Overall averaging 33.6 PRA in FEB (with all other main Heat guys in and out of lineup) - but I have this as a bottom tier matchup for Bam.
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 52-55-0 (+2.6u)
J.Butler Double-Double (Yes)+750
0.25u

Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 54-46-0 (+3.0u)
MIA +6.5-114
1u

Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +5-112
1u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
Over 212.5-105
1u
Via Sean Little

Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 61-85-6 (-5.7u)
J.Butler o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.83u
It’s a NBA Finals rematch tonight with the Miami Heat visiting the Denver Nuggets who just whipped the Kings last night.
One player that I expect to turn up the Heat is Jimmy Butler.
Butler has been tremendous over his last few games out of the All-Star Break with 38 and 35 PRA. This aligns with his post-ASB numbers from last season where he averaged 25.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game.
The setting was different in the Finals, but Jimmy has exceeded 29.5 PRA in 5/7 games vs the Nuggets over the past few seasons while averaging 35.7 per game.
I expect Jimmy to show up tonight and put forward a well rounded effort while exceeding 29.5 PRA.

Markus Markets
Last 30d: 33-50-2 (-15.7u)
J.Butler o9.5 Rebs+Ast-130
0.77u

Jay Money
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (+0.4u)
MIA +5.5-110
1.5u

VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 216.5-110
2.73u

Capper Central
Last 30d: 113-80-12 (+28.3u)
MIA +4.5-110
$159.50
PRO Insights

Heat
MIA Insights
- Featured Insight
The Heat have averaged 13.4 turnovers/game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 10th-lowest in the NBA; the Nuggets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-6th-lowest in the NBA.
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Nuggets
DEN Insights
- Featured Insight
The Nuggets have allowed 12.7 second chance points per game at home this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game on the road this season -- 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nuggets are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries
- Peyton WatsonPG
Peyton Watson (knee) doubtful Wednesday.
Doubtful
- DaRon HolmesSF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out

Heat Injuries
- Dru SmithPG
Smith is out with achilles
Out
- Jaime JaquezPG
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable Friday.
Probable
Player Stats
- scoringMichael Porter30ppg
- reboundingMichael Porter11rpg
- assistsNikola Jokic7apg
- shootingAaron Gordon62.5fg%
Team Stats
Heat vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison
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Heat at Nuggets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Heat 37-45 | o104-112 | u104-114 |
![]() Nuggets 50-32 | o110.5-111 | u110.5-114 |