Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 1, 2024
Heat at Nuggets
3:00 am • TNTHeat at Nuggets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Heat 13-13 | +6 | +6.5-112 | o214.5-109 | +210 |
Nuggets 14-11 | u221.5 | -6.5-108 | u214.5-111 | -257 |
Friday 3:00 a.m.
March 01, 2024Ball ArenaDenver
Heat vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Joe Dellera
297d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
A.Gordon o5.5 Rebs (Live)-130
0.38u
Betting at halftime. Gordon rebounds skyrocket without Murray who now won’t return tonight.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
297d ago
Last 30d: 300-279-6 (+0.8u)
DEN -6-114
1.25u
… good teams 7.5 to 4.5 fav at home
Overall: 219-121-6,64% (ROI:24%)
Season:20-19-0,51% (ROI:-2%)
Jay Money
297d ago
Last 30d: 22-14-1 (+3.0u)
MIA +6.5-108
0.5u
Nick Martin
297d ago
Last 30d: 121-169-4 (+5.3u)
J.Murray u21.5 Pts-120
0.42u
@propbomb
Prop Bomb 🏝
297d ago
Last 30d: 9-8-0 (-0.4u)
J.Murray u21.5 Pts-120
1u
Avg. 18.2 PPG Per-36 MIN vs. MIA in Finals. 6th fewest PPG vs. PG L30 days. MIA ranks inside top-5 in PnR BH, Transition, & FTs allowed - 53% of his PPG. No K. Love, MIA will go small w/ Jimmy, Caleb, & Haywood defense. #PlayerProps
Kyle Murray
297d ago
Last 30d: 58-67-1 (-12.3u)
M.Porter o5.5 Rebs-140
1u
Prop Bet Guy
297d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
B.Adebayo u34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118
1u
Adebayo under this line in 5/L6 vs Jokic, dating back three seasons. His usage and production without Herro sees a very small uptick - it’s a bigger spot now for Butler, Rozier, Duncan. Overall averaging 33.6 PRA in FEB (with all other main Heat guys in and out of lineup) - but I have this as a bottom tier matchup for Bam.
Gilles Gallant
297d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
J.Butler Double-Double (Yes)+750
0.25u
Green Dot Daily
297d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
MIA +5-112
1u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
Over 212.5-105
1u
Via Sean Little
Joe Dellera
297d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
J.Butler o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.83u
It’s a NBA Finals rematch tonight with the Miami Heat visiting the Denver Nuggets who just whipped the Kings last night.
One player that I expect to turn up the Heat is Jimmy Butler.
Butler has been tremendous over his last few games out of the All-Star Break with 38 and 35 PRA. This aligns with his post-ASB numbers from last season where he averaged 25.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game.
The setting was different in the Finals, but Jimmy has exceeded 29.5 PRA in 5/7 games vs the Nuggets over the past few seasons while averaging 35.7 per game.
I expect Jimmy to show up tonight and put forward a well rounded effort while exceeding 29.5 PRA.
Markus Markets
297d ago
Last 30d: 66-84-1 (+6.3u)
J.Butler o9.5 Rebs+Ast-130
0.77u
Jay Money
297d ago
Last 30d: 22-14-1 (+3.0u)
MIA +5.5-110
1.5u
VegasIsMyBitch
297d ago
Last 30d: 38-33-2 (+2.1u)
Under 216.5-110
2.73u
Capper Central
297d ago
Last 30d: 54-49-1 (-5.2u)
MIA +4.5-110
$159.50
PRO Insights
Heat
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightThe Heat have averaged 13.4 turnovers/game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 10th-lowest in the NBA; the Nuggets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-6th-lowest in the NBA.
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Nuggets
DEN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Nuggets have allowed 12.7 second chance points per game at home this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game on the road this season -- 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nuggets are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Nuggets' 11 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Updates
Nuggets Injuries
- Dario SaricSF
Saric is out with knee
Out
- Vlatko CancarSF
Cancar is out with knee
Out
Heat Injuries
- Josh RichardsonPG
Richardson is out with heel
Out
- Kevin LoveSF
Kevin Love (back) probable Wednesday.
Probable
- Jimmy ButlerSF
Jimmy Butler (illness) doubtful Saturday.
Doubtful
Player Stats
- scoringMichael Porter30ppg
- reboundingMichael Porter11rpg
- assistsNikola Jokic7apg
- shootingAaron Gordon62.5fg%
Team Stats
Heat vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison
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Heat at Nuggets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Heat 13-13 | o104-112 | u104-114 |
Nuggets 14-11 | o110.5-111 | u110.5-114 |