Lakers vs. Clippers Odds & Betting Predictions - February 29, 2024

… playoffs last year take road dog Overall: 88-75-0,54% (ROI:31%) Season:17-10-0,63% (ROI:51%)

Ryanpropz NBA Straight

🎙️ Discussed on Cash That Podcast The Clippers will be without Paul George tonight and the played I expect to step up in his absence is Norman Powell. On the season, Powell has averaged 13.2 in games playing alongside Paul George but in the four games without him he has averaged 19.3 per game. It’s a significant spike in Usage and minutes. This matchup against the Lakers is exploitable as well. The Lakers allow the sixth-highest frequency of 3 point attempts and their opponents shoot 376% from deep, the eighth-highest percentage in the NBA. Powell is an elite 3 point shooter (46%) but his ability to score at every level is why I’m targeting his points rather than his 3s. I expect Norman Powell to exceed 18.5 points tonight.

Lakers have struggled vs wings all season - 4th most pts allowed to SGs and 10th most to SFs. They really struggle against secondary action, as evidenced by allowing the 8th most points per possession to spot up shooters, the 7th most assists per game, and and a defense that ranks 9th in PPP to pick and roll handlers (with the 6th lowest score frequency). Kawhi will get his, but i really like Powell to be the number two over Harden, in terms of scoring. Powell’s most frequent playtype is as a spot up shooter, and his second (transition) - the Lakers also rank 27th against. Coming off a start and playing 37 mins (scoring 21 pts) with no PG again, I’m expecting a similar workload (Ty Lue could Ty Lue - but moving Powell out of the starting lineup would make the first unit way too reliant on Kawhi and Harden). Averaging 18.9 pts per 34 mins since January 1st. Plus matchup, rivalry game on national TV - I see upside for a similar workload to last game. I have him at 22.