Clippers vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 19, 2025

Clippers at Nuggets

7:30 pm • ESPN

Los Angeles Clippers

2-1

110

110 - 112

Denver Nuggets

1-2

112

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Clippers 2-1	+3.5	+3-109	o224.5-110	+125
Nuggets 1-2	u224.5	-3-111	u224.5-110	-150

Saturday 7:30 p.m.

April 19, 2025

Ball ArenaDenver

K.Leonard o25 Pts (Live)-113

0.55u

Hedge

DEN -150

0.67u

K.Leonard o6.5 Rebs-110

1.1u

4.02% ev

J.Harden o5.5 Rebs+120

0.96u

3.69% ev

LAC +120

LAC +2.5-110

C.Braun u13.5 Pts-120

1.25u

N.Powell u17.5 Pts+124

1.36u

5.51% ev

I.Zubac o17.5 Pts-104

K.Leonard o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

1.15u

LAC +2.5-110

K.Leonard u3.5 Ast-113

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

K.Leonard u3.5 Ast-113

Proj closer to -145. Over his last 5 games, Kawhi’s averaged 3.8 assists, but based on his Pass Mix, my expected assists model has him closer to 3.0, making him a prime sell-high candidate. He’s basically allergic to passing: when he gets the ball, he’s looking to shoot. His pass rate has dipped to 0.81 per minute, and only 16% are even turning into potentials. His teammates have converted 19 of 23 potential assists (83%) an unsustainable clip compared to their season average of 62%.

C.Braun u2.5 Ast+104

1.04u

R.Westbrook u0.5 3pt M+133

I.Zubac o12.5 Rebs-110

1.27u

5.13% ev

DEN u113.5-108

LAC +120

LAC +2.5-111

0.68u

N.Jokic u12.5 Rebs+120

0.96u

3.91% ev

C.Braun o13.5 Pts-106

0.53u

Tailing @TurveyBets. RotoGrinders projections have him at 13.86 points so this is less a projections play for me but more of a matchups play if the best LAC defenders focus on his teammates and force Braun to beat them. Minutes should be there for Braun too.

Over 223.5-110

0.8u

3.19% ev

N.Jokic To Make 3+ Threes Yes+200

0.1u

N.Jokic o1.5 3pt M-145

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-for-first-round-playoff-games-on-saturday-april-19-qs

J.Harden u22.5 Pts-118

1.18u

R.Westbrook u9.5 Pts-120

1.2u

LAC +2.5-107

2.8u

LAC +2.5-107

2.8u

LAC +120

1.1u

K.Leonard u25.5 Pts-120

0.46u

J.Murray o28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

0.7u

3.02% ev

I.Zubac o17.5 Pts+116

0.93u

3.9% ev

N.Jokic o1.5 3pt M-140

0.7u

A.Gordon u15.5 Pts-102

1.2u

4.88% ev

K.Leonard o3.5 Ast+120

1.8u

8.86% ev

M.Porter o2.5 3pt M+125

0.6u

3% ev

C.Braun o13.5 Pts-106

2.12u

K.Leonard o30.5 Pts+Rebs-115

0.58u

N.Jokic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.58u

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-43-1	18-22-1	20-21	27-33-1	11-10
Clippers	47-35	28-13	19-22	29-20	18-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	48-33-1	26-15	22-18-1	35-25-1	13-8
Clippers	40-41-1	21-20	19-21-1	26-23	14-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	1-2	N/A	N/A	40-21	10-11
Clippers	2-1	N/A	N/A	38-11	12-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	@HOU	W 126-111	-6 W	O 234.5	DEN -238
Apr 12th	MEM	W 117-109	-7 W	U 245.5	DEN -290
Apr 10th	@SAC	W 124-116	-4.5 W	O 234.5	DEN -198
Apr 7th	IND	L 120-125	-6 L	O 238.5	IND -240
Apr 5th	@GSW	L 104-118	+3 L	U 237	GSW +130