Magic vs. Wizards Odds & Betting Predictions - December 27, 2023

Via @SBK5065 good look

Wagner’s overall hit rate on this line is low, but against the teams in the top 10 of pace, he’s 7/11. WSH probably the most ideal opponent for him - he dropped 31 in each of the last two matchups vs them. Second most pts in the paint allowed, which should bode well for Franz who has upped his aggression with 13.8 drives per game over the L10. Plus, I love how the Magic stagger his and Paolo’s minutes. Paolo does have a slightly tougher matchup, but regardless of his production, Franz will still pick up about 14 non Paolo mins. Franz was able to produce at the same level in both matchups vs WSH despite Paolo going for 6 and 28 pts.

Under in 4 of L5 - WAS (5-2) to the over as home dogs

Wagner has an elite matchup against a porous Washington defense that he has already torched twice this season. Wagner dropped 31 on 11/29 and 12/1 in their two games this season. Washington plays at the fastest Pace in the league (103.9), per @bball_ref which will lead to plenty of opportunities to score. Washington has been highly susceptible to Wings and has given up monster performances to Simons (41), Ingram (40), and Jaylen Brown (36) to name a few.