Mavericks vs. Bucks Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Mavericks at Bucks

1:00 am • NBA TV

Dallas Mavericks

18-10

125

125 - 132

Milwaukee Bucks

15-12

132

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 18-10	+2.5	+2-112	o247.5-108	+102
Bucks 15-12	u238.5	-2-107	u247.5-112	-122

Sunday 1:00 a.m.

November 19, 2023

Fiserv ForumMilwaukee

Over 247.5-105

P.Connaughton o4.5 Rebs-140

0.71u

Collab with @PropBomb and Ahan

P.Connaughton o4.5 Rebs-140

Collab w/ @JoeDellera No Khris, Jae, & Beauchamp. Project P converts REB at a high rate and will see 26+ MIN and has grabbed 7+ REB in three straight games. DAL play at 5th fastest pace & allow 6th most REB. #PlayerProps

Over 247.5-107

0.26u

K.Irving o5.5 Ast-120

K.Irving o35.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

0.85u

Kyrie Day - everyone celebrate accordingly

DAL +2-110

Over 246-110

0.91u

MIL -130

$115.38

DAL +2-110

Bucks have won L2 matchups - Luka takes over

G.Williams o9.5 Pts+110

1.1u

Taking this one point higher than his base line. I leaned 3s but at over 1.5 (-154) I prefer the points at +$. Grant has cleared this line in 67% of games while averaging 11.2 per game. He’s consistently getting set up nicely by both Kyrie and Luka. This is a nice matchup for Grant. The Bucks have struggled to patrol the perimeter and Grant is taking 65% of his shots from 3 and making 49% of them. The Bucks have specifically struggled more defending the corner 3, an area Grant has been efficient from his entire career. Grant provides enough offensively elsewhere on the court that I’m comfortable with his points prop instead of just his juiced over 1.5 3s (-154).

DAL +2.5-110

My Game Guide: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/mavericks-vs-bucks-prediction-picks-best-bet-for-saturday-november-18

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NBA Public Betting

Bucks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bucks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bucks are 6-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bucks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bucks' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	12-15-1	6-8-1	6-7	8-11-1	4-4
Mavericks	16-11-1	8-5	8-6-1	10-7	6-4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bucks	12-16	6-9	6-7	10-10	2-6
Mavericks	15-13	4-9	11-4	6-11	9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	15-12	N/A	N/A	14-6	2-6
Mavericks	18-10	N/A	N/A	12-5	6-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 18th	@CHA	W 130-99	-8 W	U 243	MIL -360
Nov 16th	@TOR	W 128-112	-1.5 W	O 224.5	MIL -115
Nov 14th	CHI	W 118-109	-9.5 L	U 230.5	MIL -430
Nov 11th	@ORL	L 97-112	-2.5 L	U 227	ORL -139
Nov 10th	@IND	L 124-126	-1.5 L	O 239.5	IND -115